Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Cheyenne, WY

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FNUS75 KCYS 251236
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Spot Forecast for Eagle Eye...Great Plains Dispatch
National Weather Service Cheyenne WY
636 AM MDT Tue Jun 25 2024

If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service at (307) 772-2227

.DISCUSSION...

Another warm and dry day is expected today. A frontal boundary will set
up very close to the fire location through the day today. This could
result in more significant fluctuations during the day between drier/
hotter air in northwest flow south of the boundary, and more moist air
with northerly flow to the north. Expect minimum RH in the 25 to 30%
range with occasional wind gusts to 25 MPH. This boundary will push well
to the south tonight, leading to good to excellent RH recovery by Wednesday
morning. Expect southeast winds occasionally gusting to 25 MPH on Wednesday
with a chance for thunderstorms in the afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....87 to 89 degrees.
Min humidity........25 to 30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the
                    north around 15 mph late in the afternoon. Occasional
                    gusts to 25 MPH possible.
Mixing height.......6800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 9 to 17 mph shifting to the northwest 13
                    to 15 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (15900 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (87300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........11  14  16  12  8   4   3   4   5   5   6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............65  69  73  75  78  80  82  84  86  85  85
RH..............60  55  48  46  42  39  37  32  30  31  31
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..9   9   9   9   9   10  12  13  14  15  15
20 FT wind gust.14  15  15  15  16  16  18  21  22  23  23
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 1.8 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.3 3.2 4.5 5.5 6.4 6.8
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.17  14  10  9   9   9   12  13  14  15  15
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100021  21  19  17  16  19  31  49  68  82  87

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
CWR.................2 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....58 to 60 degrees.
Max humidity........73 to 77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the
                    east 5 to 10 mph late in the evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 14 to 15 mph shifting to the east 8 to 17
                    mph early in the evening, then shifting to the
                    northeast around 20 mph early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (81300 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (3300 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........7   4   4   11  6   10  11  14  17  14  21  26
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............84  80  76  72  70  69  67  65  64  63  61  60
RH..............33  41  52  61  68  70  73  75  75  75  75  72
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..14  14  12  10  8   6   6   6   7   8   8   9
20 FT wind gust.23  21  18  16  14  10  9   9   12  13  14  15
Mix hgt (kft)...6.5 4.9 2.8 1.1 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.9
Transp wind dir.NW  N   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.15  14  13  12  10  8   8   9   13  15  17  20
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/100081  59  32  11  4   3   4   5   8   11  13  15

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the afternoon. Chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
CWR.................7 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1500, then 3.
Max temperature.....83 to 85 degrees.
Min humidity........35 to 39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon. Occasional gusts to 25 MPH possible.
Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 13 to 21 mph shifting to the southeast 10
                    to 15 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (17500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (67900 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........34  36  29  27  30  21  21  25  30  36  43  49
Weather cov.....                        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                    CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   3   3   3
Temp............59  61  63  65  69  72  76  78  81  83  81  80
RH..............75  70  70  68  59  53  46  42  38  37  41  44
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..9   9   9   10  10  12  12  13  14  15  15  15
20 FT wind gust.15  15  16  16  17  17  18  21  22  23  24  24
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.2 1.5 1.9 2.4 3.0 3.7 4.5 5.3 5.6 5.3 4.5
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.21  21  21  18  16  13  10  10  13  14  15  15
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/100018  22  26  31  33  33  33  42  56  68  68  60

$$
Forecaster...Natoli
Requested by...Mat Karges
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416669.0/CYS
.DELDT 06/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL sdgpc@firenet.gov