Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Cheyenne, WY

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FNUS75 KCYS 121048
FWSCYS

Spot Forecast for Chadron Creek RX...USDA Forest Service
National Weather Service Cheyenne WY
448 AM MDT Sun Oct 12 2025

If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service at (307) 772-2227

.DISCUSSION...

Elevated fire weather conditions are expected today. Westerly winds
will increase shortly and continue through the day. Regular gusts
to around 45 mph can be expected with minimum RH in the upper teens.
Winds will drop off quickly late this afternoon, becoming north, then
northeast, and finally variable, before settling on southeast late
tonight into early Monday morning. Southeast winds will increase
Monday, gusting to around 30 mph through the day. RH will be higher
Monday, only dropping to around 30%. Southeast winds may increase
Monday night.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........18 to 20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to around 45
                    mph shifting to the northwest around 15 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......7800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 29 to 37 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 26 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (17700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (92800 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (159900
                    knot-ft).

TIME (MDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........8   10  25  19  23  24  13  6   3   4   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............53  52  53  55  56  57  59  60  60  61  59
RH..............71  69  59  47  37  30  25  21  20  19  23
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
20 FT wind spd..23  23  23  23  22  22  21  21  20  16  13
20 FT wind gust.43  43  43  43  43  41  40  39  36  31  25
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.7 2.0 3.4 4.7 5.8 6.8 7.5 7.8 7.7 7.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
Transp wind spd.29  29  29  31  33  36  37  37  35  30  26
SDspl kt-ft/100018  18  51  93  136 180 218 241 233 200 160

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Areas of frost
                    after 3 am.
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 35.
Max humidity........80 to 85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable winds 5 to 10 mph in the evening settling
                    on southeast after midnight.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 12 to 14 mph shifting to the
                    southeast around 15 mph early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2200 knot-ft).

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........6   7   6   5   4   4   5   2   9   6   16  17
Weather cov.....                                    ARS
Weather type....                                    FST
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............55  52  47  45  44  42  40  38  38  37  37  36
RH..............29  33  44  49  53  60  64  73  73  75  75  79
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  W   W   SW  SE  E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..10  8   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   8
20 FT wind gust.18  15  13  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  13  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.NW  N   NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE
Transp wind spd.14  12  9   8   8   12  14  14  12  12  15  15
SDspl kt-ft/10009   4   3   2   2   3   4   4   3   3   4   4

.COLUMBUS DAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........30 to 35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 12 to 17 mph gusting to around
                    30 mph.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 16 to 25 mph shifting to the southeast 25
                    to 26 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4400 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (77900 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........24  19  18  24  36  37  37  43  50  56  64  71
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............36  36  38  42  47  52  56  57  58  60  58  57
RH..............79  82  82  73  60  48  40  37  34  32  36  38
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..9   9   10  12  12  13  14  14  14  14  14  15
20 FT wind gust.16  17  18  20  22  23  25  25  25  25  25  26
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.7 2.3 2.9 3.2 3.4 3.4 3.1 2.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
Transp wind spd.16  18  18  22  23  24  24  25  25  26  26  25
SDspl kt-ft/10004   5   8   21  33  49  60  72  76  78  70  56

$$
Forecaster...Natoli
Requested by...Ben Jech
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523170.3/CYS
.DELDT 10/12/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL benjamin.j.jech@usda.gov