515
FNUS75 KCYS 132203
FWSCYS

Spot Forecast for Hardwood Fire...Gering FD
National Weather Service Cheyenne WY
403 PM MDT Thu Jun 13 2024

If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service at (307) 772-2227

.DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms expected to really decrease after sunset
early this evening. Best timing wise for storms between now and 8PM.
Gusty and erratic wind gusts near thunderstorms with gusts 40-45mph
possible. Good humidity recoveries tonight as the Panhandle is
on the east (cool) side of a cold front that moved into from the
northwest. This front will stall along the east slopes of the Laramie
Range overnight...setting the stage for more widespread showers and
storms Friday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly Cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
CWR.................7 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 12 mph. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (68600 knot-ft).
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      5PM
Sky (%).........46
Weather cov.....SCH
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........SCH
CWR.............10
LAL.............2
Temp............84
RH..............31
20 FT wind dir..SE
20 FT wind spd..12
20 FT wind gust.17
Mix hgt (kft)...5.4
Transp wind dir.SE
Transp wind spd.15
Haines index....5
SDspl kt-ft/100069

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
                    then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    late in the evening.
CWR.................7 percent.
LAL.................3 until 2100, then 2 until 2400, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
Max humidity........78 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 9 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 23 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (66000 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (18800 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........48  51  44  36  34  28  27  33  46  59  62  59
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............3   3   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............83  80  76  72  69  68  67  66  65  63  63  62
RH..............32  39  45  51  57  59  61  63  68  72  72  75
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  10  10  9   10  9   9   9   10  10
20 FT wind gust.17  17  17  16  16  14  17  16  15  16  16  17
Mix hgt (kft)...5.1 4.1 2.9 1.8 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.1 1.0
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S
Transp wind spd.15  16  17  18  20  22  23  23  23  22  22  22
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/100066  56  42  29  26  27  29  28  27  26  22  19

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
CWR.................3 percent increasing to 29 percent in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 12 to 16 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......9800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 18 to 25 mph decreasing to 10 to 14 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (20600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to very good (105300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........54  52  60  74  68  65  55  70  68  67  71  71
Weather cov.....                        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   30  30  30  30  30  30
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   3   3   3   3   3   3
Temp............62  65  67  70  77  79  82  85  83  83  80  79
RH..............78  73  70  66  52  49  44  39  41  41  45  50
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  S   S
20 FT wind spd..12  14  15  16  16  14  16  16  15  14  14  14
20 FT wind gust.18  22  23  25  25  22  25  24  23  22  21  22
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.6 2.3 3.1 3.5 3.9 4.7 6.6 8.6 9.8 9.4 8.0
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.22  23  24  25  25  24  23  18  14  10  10  13
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/100021  32  50  68  77  83  92  105 103 90  85  84

$$
Forecaster...Claycomb
Requested by...Nathan
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416106.0/CYS
.DELDT 06/13/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL firedept@gering.org