Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
667 FNUS28 KWNS 032156 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0353 PM CST Tue Nov 03 2026 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z Upper-level troughing will move over the eastern third of the CONUS with another (smaller) trough on the eastern edge of the Intermountain West on Day 3/Thursday. By Day 4/Friday, upper-level ridging will build in over much of the western US, transitioning temperatures from below or near-normal to above normal starting this weekend. Consensus of the latest forecast guidance is that this ridge, while not particularly strong, will persist through mid-next-week. A cold front progressing across the eastern states will bring beneficial rainfall to much of the Appalachian Mountains. A shortwave trough behind the first trough will bring additional opportunity for precipitation to the southern Plains and Gulf Coast. Meanwhile, an upper-level low over Baja CA on Day 4/Friday through Day 6/Sunday will support easterly flow and result in moderately strong Santa Ana surface winds. Even with drying conditions present as this system transits the region, recent rainfall accumulation and increased live fuel moisture are expected to limit the fire threat there. Nevertheless, fire weather concerns will be reduced across almost all CONUS locations through the forecast period given recent rainfall and subdued fuels. ..Stearns.. 11/03/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$