Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
498 FNUS28 KWNS 292120 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0418 PM CDT Tue Sep 29 2026 Valid 011200Z - 071200Z ...Synopsis... An upper-level low over the southern/central Plains on Day 3/Thursday will accelerate northeastward and merge into broader westerly flow across the Midwest and Northeast by Day 4/Friday. Widespread rainfall across the southern and central Plains and Midwest will reduce fire weather concerns across this region. Persistent warm and dry conditions amid very dry fuels across the Mid-South Day 3/Thursday will give way to increasing Gulf moisture, rising humidity and at least some rainfall across the region beginning Day 4/Friday as cold front moves into the Ohio and Tennessee River Valleys. West of the Continental Divide, a building ridge through late week will support a considerable warming and drying trend across the Western U.S. although resultant weak surface pressure gradients and light winds will limit a broader fire weather threat. A weak mid/upper wave could bring a thunderstorm threat to the Oregon and Northern California vicinity on Day 6/Sunday although remaining forecast uncertainty in timing and convective coverage precludes introducing dry thunderstorm probabilities at this time. The overall ridging pattern across the West is likely to extend into next week, resulting in drying/curing of fuels. ..Williams.. 09/29/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$