Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
587 FNUS28 KWNS 282126 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0424 PM CDT Mon Sep 28 2026 Valid 301200Z - 061200Z ...Synopsis... A closed upper low laden with remnant moisture from former hurricane Polo will eject into southern/central Plains through midweek bringing swaths of much needed rainfall to the region and a reduced fire weather threat. A residual hot and dry air mass will remain in place across the Southeast ahead of the advancing deep moisture plume. However, light southerly winds should limit a broader fire weather threat despite very dry fuels across the lower MS River Valley. An upper-level ridge builds over the West as the upper low pushes east of the Continental Divide by Day 4/Thursday. This will usher in a prolonged warm and dry period across much of the West through early next week. However, light surface winds should limit larger scale fire weather concerns with the warm/dry conditions providing a primary impact to drying fuels. Latest ensemble guidance hints at a short wave intrusion into the broader ridge pattern as early as Day 7-8/Sunday-Monday, but predictability remains low. ..Williams.. 09/28/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$