347
FNUS28 KWNS 252103
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0401 PM CDT Sat Jul 25 2026

Valid 271200Z - 021200Z

...Synopsis...
Upper-level troughing will continue to impinge of the Pacific
Northwest with the main upper low/trough remaining offshore.
However, mid-level shortwave troughs will occasionally rotate
through the southwest flow aloft. An upper high will reside over the
southern High Plains/vicinity before slowly shifting back to the
west with upper-level ridging forecast to build over much of the
West late in the outlook period. Daily monsoonal thunderstorms
remain likely across the Four Corners region, but a slight drying
trend is possible.

...Northwestern US...
Lingering dry and breezy conditions are expected on Day 3/Monday
across portions of northwestern US. If stronger flow aloft remains
over enough of this region and deeper mixing becomes more likely
across a broader area, an expansion of 40% probabilities will be
warranted. Somewhat weaker upper-level flow beyond Day 3/Monday and
overall forecast uncertainty regarding the interplay of the
upper-level troughing in the Pacific Northwest/vicinity and the
upper-level ridge over the Plains and much of the Intermountain West
has precluded additional critical probabilities through Day
6/Thursday. Extended guidance and cluster analysis exhibits the
potential for the offshore troughing to move inland across the
Pacific Northwest, once again bringing dry and breezy conditions to
the region next weekend. Critical probabilities will be withheld
until predictability increases, but may be needed in future outlook
cycles as the upper pattern is better resolved.

...Southern High Plains...
Hot, dry, and breezy conditions are likely to develop across
portions of the southern High Plains through the workweek. Recent
fuel intel implies the environment is still quite mixed, with some
localized areas more receptive than others. Aforementioned
meteorological conditions for several consecutive days will likely
contribute to further drying the fuelscape; trends will be monitored
closely for the inclusion of probabilities in future outlooks.

..Elizalde-Garcia.. 07/25/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$