689
FNUS28 KWNS 152151
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0449 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2024

Valid 171200Z - 231200Z

A longwave mid-level trough across the western CONUS will be the
primary driver for fire weather concerns for most of the upcoming
week. An embedded shortwave trough is expected to traverse the
northern Rockies on Day 3 (Monday), and the associated surface
response will induce dry, breezy conditions across the southwestern
CONUS. With receptive fuels in the area, a 70% Critical area has
been maintained across parts of Utah, Arizona, New Mexico, and far
southwest Colorado. Surrounding this, a 40% Critical area is
maintained. The eastern edge of this area has received some rain in
the last 24 hours, so this may mitigate the fire threat, depending
on how quickly drying of fuels can occur. In addition, a secondary
jet max is expected to translate to the California coast, which is
expected to result in some dry, breezy conditions in the California
Central Valley.

On Day 4 (Tuesday), the primary shortwave trough lifts to the
northeast, weakening the flow over the southwestern CONUS. Some dry,
breezy conditions with receptive fuels may occur over south-central
New Mexico. For Day 5 (Wednesday) and beyond, some fire risk may
occur across portions of the southwest CONUS, however confidence is
too low to highlight specific areas at this time.

..Supinie.. 06/15/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$