676
FNUS28 KWNS 262139
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0437 PM CDT Sun Jul 26 2026

Valid 281200Z - 031200Z

Upper-level troughing is forecast across portions of the Pacific
Northwest through much of the workweek, with the main upper-level
low remaining offshore. Meanwhile, periodic mid-level shortwaves
will rotate through the base of the trough and over the area in the
southwest flow aloft. The strongest and most well-defined shortwave
is forecast Day 5/Thursday. Upper-level ridging across the southern
High Plains Day 3/Tuesday is expected to gradually build westward
into next weekend. Thereafter, longer-range ensemble guidance
continues to suggest that the aforementioned upper-level low may
move onshore next weekend, though timing details remain uncertain.

...Northwestern US...
Weaker flow aloft will tend to limit the fire weather threat across
the Pacific Northwest through much of the week. Though, locally
elevated fire weather conditions appear likely most days due to
lingering dry and breezy conditions amidst receptive fuels. While,
thunderstorm chances may return Day 5/Thursday as the aforementioned
shortwave trough impinges on the area, confidence in 10% coverage
remains a bit too low to introduce probabilities at this time.
Nevertheless, this will be monitored considering the forecast
sensitivities with multiple large fires ongoing across the area.
Longer range guidance continues to suggest dry and breezy conditions
may return to the Northwest sometime next weekend as the offshore
trough moves inland. At this time, confidence remains too low to
introduce Critical probabilities.

...Southern High Plains...
Hot, dry, and breezy conditions are likely across portions of the
southern High Plains through much of the workweek. While near
elevated fire weather conditions appear likely, recent fuel guidance
suggests the fuelscape remains mostly mixed and winds are forecast
to generally remain at or below elevated thresholds. Nevertheless,
fuels are expected to continue drying due to the multiple days of
hot, dry, and breezy conditions, which may necessitate fire weather
highlights in later forecasts.

..Elliott.. 07/26/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$