Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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490
FNUS28 KWNS 312039
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0337 PM CDT Sat Oct 31 2026

Valid 021200Z - 081200Z

...Discussion...
An amplifying upper trough over the Intermountain West will eject
into the Great Plains on Day 3/Monday. A deepening surface low in
the northern Plains will increase southerly flow, advecting rich
eastern Pacific and Gulf moisture into the central CONUS. Leading
large-scale ascent and an eastward progressing cold front will
promote widespread precipitation across portions of the central to
eastern states through the end of next week. This should bring much
anticipated relief to dry fuels in the lower MS River Valley (and
perhaps the southern Appalachians). Extended guidance indicates an
unsettled troughing pattern and cooler temperatures will persist
over the western third of the CONUS through the forecast period.
Thus, any threat of significant fire weather remains low across
almost all CONUS locations.

..Elizalde-Garcia.. 10/31/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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