Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
420 FNUS28 KWNS 212108 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0307 PM CST Fri Nov 21 2025 Valid 231200Z - 291200Z ...Synopsis... Limited fire weather concerns are expected across the contiguous U.S. for the Day 3-8/Sunday-Friday forecast period. An eastward moving upper-level trough across the Southwest on Day 3/Sunday along with nascent surface cyclogenesis across the Central Plains should usher in deeper Gulf moisture from the south, promoting another widespread precipitation event across much of the southern/central Plains through Day 4/Monday. The surface cyclone moves into the Great Lakes/Upper Midwest by midweek, with a trailing cold front and associated precipitation band affecting much of the eastern U.S. through Day 6/Wednesday. Dry, post-frontal flow across the Southeast on Day 7/Thursday could present elevated fire weather concerns across southern GA/northern FL where drought and patches of dry fuels remain, although some preceding rainfall on Day 6/Wednesday would limit a broader threat. Dry conditions reemerge across CA and much of the Southwest next week as mid-level riding amplifies into the West. A broad surface high pressure evolving across the Intermountain West will promote an increasing offshore pressure gradient across central/southern CA through much of the week. However, recent widespread rainfall and unreceptive fuels should limit fire weather concerns across southern CA next week. ..Williams.. 11/21/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$