Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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FNUS28 KWNS 222118
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0416 PM CDT Sun Sep 22 2024

Valid 241200Z - 301200Z

Forecast guidance has come to a consensus for a cut off low which
will dominate the weather for much of the central and eastern CONUS
by the middle of this week. In addition, there is some potential for
tropical development which may eventually merge with this upper low
later this week. As this pattern evolves across the eastern CONUS,
ridging will build across the western CONUS. Some warmer conditions
are anticipated, however, winds are expected to be light across
areas with dry fuels. The only period with even elevated
fire-weather conditions forecast is on Day4/Wednesday when some dry
and breezy conditions may develop in the lee of the northern
Sierra/southern Cascades as a mid-level trough moves through the
Pacific Northwest. However, fuels are not critically dry in this
region. Therefore, only elevated conditions forecast at this time
and unreceptive fuels preclude the need for any critical
probabilities given the potential for fire-weather concerns is too
low.

..Bentley.. 09/22/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$