Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
667
FNUS28 KWNS 032156
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0353 PM CST Tue Nov 03 2026

Valid 051200Z - 111200Z

Upper-level troughing will move over the eastern third of the CONUS
with another (smaller) trough on the eastern edge of the
Intermountain West on Day 3/Thursday. By Day 4/Friday, upper-level
ridging will build in over much of the western US, transitioning
temperatures from below or near-normal to above normal starting this
weekend. Consensus of the latest forecast guidance is that this
ridge, while not particularly strong, will persist through
mid-next-week. A cold front progressing across the eastern states
will bring beneficial rainfall to much of the Appalachian Mountains.
A shortwave trough behind the first trough will bring additional
opportunity for precipitation to the southern Plains and Gulf Coast.
Meanwhile, an upper-level low over Baja CA on Day 4/Friday through
Day 6/Sunday will support easterly flow and result in moderately
strong Santa Ana surface winds. Even with drying conditions present
as this system transits the region, recent rainfall accumulation and
increased live fuel moisture are expected to limit the fire threat
there. Nevertheless, fire weather concerns will be reduced across
almost all CONUS locations through the forecast period given recent
rainfall and subdued fuels.

..Stearns.. 11/03/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$