Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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111
FNUS28 KWNS 062106
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0305 PM CST Sat Dec 06 2025

Valid 081200Z - 141200Z

...Synopsis...
Surface high pressure moving into the eastern U.S. will promote
benign fire weather conditions across the region Day 3/Monday,
including additional rainfall over the Southeast along an advancing
cold front. A mid-level short wave translating southeastward within
broad northwesterly flow aloft should reach the Northern Plains by
Day 4/Tuesday. A corresponding surface cyclone over the Dakotas and
southward extending lee troughing along the High Plains should
support dry and breezy downslope conditions across eastern NM and
portions of West TX by Tuesday afternoon. However, even with
additional days of drying through Tuesday, fuels are expected to
remain muted, reducing the overall fire weather threat. A stronger
polar jet develops within a gradually amplifying upper-level wave
pattern over CONUS through late next week as mid-level troughing
persists across the eastern U.S. while ridging builds further into
the western states. This will support another cold air mass
intrusion into the eastern U.S. while much of the Great Basin, CA
and the Southwest remain dry within a lighter wind regime under the
expanding/advancing ridge, limiting broader fire weather concerns.

..Williams.. 12/06/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

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