326
FNUS28 KWNS 112134
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0432 PM CDT Sun Oct 11 2026

Valid 131200Z - 191200Z

...Synopsis...
An upper-level low and associated precipitation across the western
U.S. will move into the Upper Midwest by Day 5/Thursday and merge
with an amplifying mid-upper trough evolving over the Great Lakes
and Northeast by Day 7/Saturday. Ridging will build back over the
western U.S., supporting a warming and drying trend over the region
through the weekend. An offshore wind event is likely across
southern CA beginning Day 5/Thursday as broad surface high pressure
moves into the central U.S. coupled with a potential cut off low
setting up over Baja California. However, recent widespread
precipitation across much of southern CA should have a lingering,
mitigating impact on fuels late into the week where stronger
offshore winds are more likely. This should temper fire weather
concerns for this event. Farther east, the lower MS River Valley
will remain mostly dry as ridging persists over the Deep South
through midweek promoting a receptive fuelscape. A dry, continental
air mass settles into the eastern CONUS Days 6-7/Friday-Saturday.
The resultant post-frontal northerly flow and lack of preceding
rainfall could bring fire weather concerns back into the lower MS
River Valley on Day 6/Friday although some uncertainty in forecast
wind magnitude precludes the introduction of critical probabilities
at this time.

..Williams.. 10/11/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$