Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
686 FNUS28 KWNS 272144 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0442 PM CDT Sun Sep 27 2026 Valid 291200Z - 051200Z ...Synopsis... An embedded short wave within broader westerly flow aloft will support a dry, downslope environment over the high plains of MT on D3/Tuesday. A closed upper-low will pivot into the Southwest through D3/Tuesday while surface high pressure builds into the Intermountain West. This will aid in dry, offshore flow across portions of southern CA. Ahead of the slow-moving upper low, abundant moisture from the remnants of eastern Pacific hurricanes will stream into the Southwest and the central/southern Great Plains through midweek promoting widespread wetting rains and limited fire weather concerns through midweek. Upper level ridging expands across the western U.S. in the wake of the exiting closed low bringing warm and dry conditions but relatively light winds to the region into the weekend, manifesting primarily as a fuels drying event. ...Day 3/Tuesday... ...North Central Montana... Increasing westerly flow aloft over the Northern Rockies and a deepening surface low across the Canadian Prairies will support enhanced west winds and downslope drying across the high plains of MT D3/Tuesday. West winds of 15-25 mph and minimum RH of 15-20% will align with dry fuels across portions of north-central MT. 40% critical probabilities have largely been maintained. ...Southern California... Modest offshore flow is expected to extend into D3/Tuesday across southern CA as a closed upper low pivots into the Southwest. A northerly wind component up to 20 mph in favored terrain along with low RH will support a fire weather concern across portions of southern CA where pockets of receptive fuels exist. ..Williams.. 09/27/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$