Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
111 FNUS28 KWNS 062106 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0305 PM CST Sat Dec 06 2025 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z ...Synopsis... Surface high pressure moving into the eastern U.S. will promote benign fire weather conditions across the region Day 3/Monday, including additional rainfall over the Southeast along an advancing cold front. A mid-level short wave translating southeastward within broad northwesterly flow aloft should reach the Northern Plains by Day 4/Tuesday. A corresponding surface cyclone over the Dakotas and southward extending lee troughing along the High Plains should support dry and breezy downslope conditions across eastern NM and portions of West TX by Tuesday afternoon. However, even with additional days of drying through Tuesday, fuels are expected to remain muted, reducing the overall fire weather threat. A stronger polar jet develops within a gradually amplifying upper-level wave pattern over CONUS through late next week as mid-level troughing persists across the eastern U.S. while ridging builds further into the western states. This will support another cold air mass intrusion into the eastern U.S. while much of the Great Basin, CA and the Southwest remain dry within a lighter wind regime under the expanding/advancing ridge, limiting broader fire weather concerns. ..Williams.. 12/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$