148
FNUS28 KWNS 132158
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0456 PM CDT Mon Oct 13 2025

Valid 151200Z - 211200Z

...Days 3-5/Wednesday-Friday...
An upper-level trough across the West on Day 3/Wednesday will
translate northeastward into the central/northern Plains by the end
of the week. Subsequent lee cyclone development along the High
Plains in WY/CO should support a swath of enhanced southerly flow
from TX into the central Plains on days 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday.
Drier fuels remain in place across central TX, but only a diffuse
overlap of higher southerly winds and sufficiently low relative
humidity is expected, limiting confidence for inclusion of critical
probabilities. Lighter east/northeast winds through midweek across
the Deep South will also mitigate fire weather concerns despite dry
and warm conditions. Dry, post frontal northwest winds across the
northeastern U.S. is expected across portions of the Mid-Atlantic on
Day 5/Thursday although recent rainfall should aid in mitigating
widespread concerns.

...Days 6-8/Saturday-Monday...
Forecast guidance shows an amplified, progressive wave pattern
across CONUS for the weekend into early next week. A sweeping cold
front is likely to push through the eastern U.S. over the weekend
into early next week, bringing needed rainfall to the Southeast. The
frontal passage through TX on Saturday could yield a broader fire
weather concern where minimal rainfall expectations and receptive
fuels remain, but uncertainty in timing of front precludes
introduction of critical probabilities.

..Williams.. 10/13/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$