Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
484 FNUS28 KWNS 052154 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0352 PM CST Fri Dec 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 131200Z Model guidance consensus indicates little deviation in the overall upper-level pattern across CONUS through next week. Ridging nudges further into CA and the Southwest while troughing persists across the eastern U.S. A warming and drying trend under the ridge should continue across the much of the Southwest, CA and Southern Plains through much of next week while colder/wetter conditions exist across the eastern U.S., largely mitigating fire weather threats. A dry cold front will initially shutter fire weather concerns across the Southern Plains Days 3-4/Sunday-Monday, with relatively warm temperatures returning midweek contributing to drying of fuels across the region. A strengthening polar jet across the Northern Rockies and central/northern Plains and subsequent stronger surface cyclogenesis in the Central Plains could promote dry and breezy conditions across eastern NM/West TX vicinity on Day 7/Thursday. However, uncertainty in fuels and relative humidity reductions limits confidence in introducing critical fire weather probabilities at this time. ..Williams.. 12/05/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$