


Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
146 FNUS28 KWNS 062158 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0456 PM CDT Mon Oct 06 2025 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z ...Days 3-5/Wednesday-Friday... An upper-level trough enters the Pacific Northwest by Day 3/Wednesday, translating southward along the West Coast to northern CA by Day 5/Friday. Ridging across the Intermountain West will support above normal temperatures across the Interior West with dry and breezy conditions across the Desert Southwest and Upper Colorado River Basin on Day 3/Wednesday, although fuels should be largely unsupportive for significant wildfire spread. Deeper atmospheric moisture originating from Hurricane Priscilla along with the eastward advancing upper-level trough will bring better opportunities for precipitation across the Northwest, Great Basin and Colorado Plateau by the end of the week. Southerly return flow increases across the Great Plains/Upper-Midwest under an upper-level ridge Wednesday and Thursday, but alignment with sufficiently low relative humidity and fuels remains uncertain. Surface high pressure in the wake of a cold front and associated rainfall will provide cooler temperatures and generally light winds across the eastern U.S. through the end of the week, limiting fire weather concerns. ...Days 6-8/Saturday-Monday... Surface troughing in the lee of the Rockies intensifies over the weekend as broad southwesterly flow aloft overspreads the central U.S., promoting increasing southerly winds across the Great Plains. Some uncertainty remains in the magnitude of moisture return into the Southern Plains along the western periphery of diffuse high pressure situated over the eastern U.S. This precludes introduction of critical probabilities for the weekend time frame. ..Williams.. 10/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$