Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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FNUS28 KWNS 252124
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0322 PM CST Tue Nov 25 2025

Valid 271200Z - 031200Z

Deep upper-level troughing is expected over the eastern US with well
below normal temperatures amid a dry post-frontal airmass through
the end of the week and into Day 5/Saturday. An upper-level short
wave trough is likely to track from the northern Rockies into the
central US before strengthening over the Midwest/Great Lakes this
weekend. Deeper upper-level troughing is likely to develop over the
West this weekend and early next week, but forecast uncertainty
remains regarding the location and magnitude of this troughing.

...Day 3/Thursday - Day 4/Friday: Portions of the Southeast...
Dry/breezy post-frontal conditions are likely along/east of the
Piedmont and into southern Georgia and north Florida Day 3/Thursday.
RH is expected to dip below elevated/critical criteria across these
areas with 8-15 mph northwest-northerly winds overlapping. RH will
likely be lower on Day 4/Friday in portions of southern/central
Georgia into central/north Florida and possibly portions of South
Carolina. Mitigating factors will be cooler temperatures, especially
at higher elevations and farther north, and the potential for
rainfall today/tomorrow. Locally elevated conditions are likely with
portions of southern Georgia and north Florida currently favored,
but given the forecast uncertainty, probabilities of critical fire
weather conditions were not introduced.

...Day 5/Saturday: Southwest Texas...
Dry/breezy conditions are likely in portions of southwest Texas Day
5/Saturday ahead of an approaching cold front. However, given the
forecast uncertainty with track of the upper-level shortwave trough,
frontal timing, and the overlap of critical winds/RH coincident with
receptive fuels, probabilities were not introduced.

..Nauslar.. 11/25/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$