Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
721 ACUS48 KWNS 300934 SWOD48 SPC AC 300932 Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0332 AM CST Sun Nov 30 2025 Valid 031200Z - 081200Z ...DISCUSSION... A series of mid-level troughs will progress across the central and eastern CONUS this week, which will usher in surface high pressure and associated cold, stable air for much of the northern, central and eastern CONUS to the end of this week. By around Days 6-8 (Friday-Sunday), the passage of a mid-level trough across the central Plains into the TN Valley may encourage surface low development along the Gulf Coast. Here, enough moisture return is anticipated for a chance of scattered thunderstorms. Medium-range guidance hints at the possibility of a high shear/low CAPE parameter space shaping up along the Gulf Coast during this time frame. However, details on the exact placement of features, such as the surface low or warm front, differ too much among medium-range guidance members for the introduction of severe probabilities for now. ..Squitieri.. 11/30/2025