613
ACUS48 KWNS 030740
SWOD48
SPC AC 030738

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0238 AM CDT Thu Sep 03 2026

Valid 061200Z - 111200Z

...DISCUSSION...
A mid-level trough will persist across the central CONUS through
early next week, before gradually weakening in favor of more
amplified, progressive upper troughs. Through the beginning of next
week, a few impulses ejecting into the northern Plains may be
accompanied by enough buoyancy and vertical wind shear to support an
isolated severe threat. However, confidence is too low to delineate
a more focused severe threat at this time. Likewise, there is a lack
of consensus among medium-range deterministic and ML/AI guidance
regarding the track and timing of any particular shortwave upper
trough later next week, precluding the introduction of any severe
probabilities this outlook.

..Squitieri.. 09/03/2026