498
FXUS63 KDDC 310400
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1100 PM CDT Sat Aug 30 2025

...Updated Aviation...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Afternoon temperatures are expected to remain below normal
  through this next week.

- Dry weather is expected to prevail for most of Southwest
  Kansas through this week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 238 PM CDT Sat Aug 30 2025

Showers and embedded thunderstorms end from west to east
tonight as a weak trough of low pressure moves through the
area. Winds will generally be from a easterly to northerly
direction and remain light throughout the night. Skies become
mostly clear to partly cloudy across the western half of the CWA
overnight with the eastern half remaining partly to mostly
cloudy. Lows tonight are expected to range from the upper 50s
across far western Kansas to mid 60s across south central
Kansas.

A dry pattern emerges tomorrow through the first part of
next week with northwest flow aloft. A few showers or storms
will be possible across central Kansas through Monday then be
pushed southward as a dry cold front moves through the area
Monday night. Winds will generally be light and from a northerly
direction through Tuesday. Highs Sunday through Tuesday will
generally be in the upper 70s to low 80s with far western Kansas
experiencing the warmest temperatures. Lows will generally be
in the 50s.

Long range ensemble models then depict an upper level low diving
south from Canada and into the northern Plains mid week. This
will push a cold front through the area sometime Wednesday
shifting winds to the north. As of now temperatures do not seem
to be effected by this front Wednesday with highs in the upper
70s to low 80s, but this may need to be adjusted if the front
moves through earlier than expected. Cloud cover increases
behind this front with a slight chance of rain. However this
will be short lived as the dry pattern reemerges throughout the
remainder of the forecast with mostly clear to partly cloudy
skies. Cooler temperatures are expected Thursday behind the
front with highs in the 70s. We then rebound into the upper 70s
to low 80s late week into the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 1100 PM CDT Sat Aug 30 2025

Rain showers near GCK/DDC at 04z will diminish over the next few
hours. High confidence that degraded flight categories will
continue through 15z Sun, with widespread stratus and reduced
visibility in BR/FG. VFR will return after 15z Sun. Airports are
expected to remain dry through Sunday. Winds will remain light
through this TAF period, light and variable tonight followed by
prevailing light north winds, less than 10 kts, on Sunday.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Hovorka_42
AVIATION...Turner