197
FXUS63 KDDC 181030
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
530 AM CDT Tue Aug 18 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A slight chance of storms across northern Kansas tonight

- Another chance of thunderstorms tomorrow night

- Highs around 100 are expected this afternoon and again this weekend

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 116 AM CDT Tue Aug 18 2026

Mostly clear skies are expected throughout today with breezy
southerly winds. Very hot temperatures in the 100s are expected this
afternoon with areas across south central Kansas reaching heat
advisory criteria.  A heat advisory is in effect to account for
this. A weak disturbance will move through Nebraska tonight
increasing the chances of thunderstorms across our northern zones.
Otherwise expect an increase in cloudiness. A cold front will also
move through the area tonight shifting winds to the northeast. East
to northeast winds are expected tomorrow then shift to the southeast
tomorrow night. Thunderstorms are expected to form across eastern
Colorado tomorrow afternoon and move into western Kansas in the
evening. It is hard to tell how long these storms will remain intact
as they trek eastward across the remainder of the CWA. An upper
level high then west of the area Thursday through the first part of
next week suppressing any activity from forming across western
Kansas. As for temperatures, highs Wednesday look to range from the
mid 80s north to upper mid to upper 90s along the KS/OK border.
Highs then dip into the upper 90s to low 90s Thursday then rebound
into the upper 90s to around 100 degrees by this weekend. Lows
during this time frame will generally be in the 60s with low 70s
across portions of south central Kansas.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 528 AM CDT Tue Aug 18 2026

Gusty southwest winds at 15 to 20 knots will develop by 18z
today as a cold front moves towards southwest Kansas. These
gusty southerly winds will then decrease as the cold front moves
into southwest Kansas between 21z today and 00z Wednesday. At
Garden City and Hays around 00z Wednesday the winds will even
shift to the north as this surface boundary passes. This cold
front will move south across the remainder of southwest Kansas
overnight. Clear/mostly clear skies will give way to increase
mid to high clouds this afternoon and VFR ceilings can be
expected overnight. Ceilings will be at or above 9000ft AGL
tonight. There will also be a slight chance for thunderstorms in
the Hays area between 04z and 09z.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 8 PM CDT this
evening for KSZ066-080-081-088>090.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Hovorka_42
AVIATION...Burgert