808
FXUS63 KDDC 020400
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1100 PM CDT Mon Sep 1 2025

...Updated Aviation...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Widespread low stratus clouds will be replaced by a beautiful
  Tuesday afternoon with sunshine, mild temperatures and light
  north winds.

- Temporarily much warmer Wednesday ahead of a cold front, with
  many locations warming into the lower 90s.

- A cold front Wednesday evening will bring cooler temperatures
  Thursday.

- A much stronger cold front is scheduled Friday morning, with
  Friday afternoon temperatures in the 60s and lower 70s.

- Rainfall with the cold fronts will be very limited, and most
  of Southwest Kansas will be dry this week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 318 PM CDT Mon Sep 1 2025

After the thunderstorms end this evening along a weak cold
front, the next weather maker will pass Wednesday evening in the
form of a weak cold front. There are small chances for t-storms
across southern sections ahead of the front. Expect warmer highs
in the upper 80s to lower 90s ahead of the front Wednesday.

A stronger cold front will pass Thursday night as a deep upper
level trough amplifies over the northern plains and Great Lakes.
There are small chances for showers and t-storms along and just
behind the front into early Friday. In the wake of the front,
expect much cooler weather on Friday, with highs in the upper
60s to mid 70s.

Surface high pressure is expected to build across the central
plains for Saturday and Sunday, leading to pleasant highs in the
mid to upper 70s. Some of the ensemble clusters indicate
moisture advection developing in the wake of surface high
pressure, along with light west-northwest flow at mid and high
levels. This would promote weak surface troughing and chances
for showers and t-storms for Sunday into Monday. This will
likely not be a widespread heavy rain event as the ensemble
means have 20% or less chance of 1" or greater of rain.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1100 PM CDT Mon Sep 1 2025

Nighttime microphysics satellite imagery depicts widespread
stratus across south central Nebraska and northern Kansas. High
confidence this stratus will spread southwest into SW KS through
Tuesday morning, with IFR ceilings at HYS/DDC 09-15z Tue.
Included MVFR stratus at GCK around 12z Tue, but kept stratus
out of the LBL terminal as model consensus suggests. Light north
winds will prevail through this period, trending light and
variable after 00z Wed.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Finch
AVIATION...Turner