050
FXUS63 KDDC 181648
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1148 AM CDT Tue Aug 18 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A slight chance of storms across northern Kansas tonight

- Another chance of thunderstorms tomorrow night

- Highs around 100 are expected this afternoon and again this weekend

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 116 AM CDT Tue Aug 18 2026

Mostly clear skies are expected throughout today with breezy
southerly winds. Very hot temperatures in the 100s are expected this
afternoon with areas across south central Kansas reaching heat
advisory criteria.  A heat advisory is in effect to account for
this. A weak disturbance will move through Nebraska tonight
increasing the chances of thunderstorms across our northern zones.
Otherwise expect an increase in cloudiness. A cold front will also
move through the area tonight shifting winds to the northeast. East
to northeast winds are expected tomorrow then shift to the southeast
tomorrow night. Thunderstorms are expected to form across eastern
Colorado tomorrow afternoon and move into western Kansas in the
evening. It is hard to tell how long these storms will remain intact
as they trek eastward across the remainder of the CWA. An upper
level high then west of the area Thursday through the first part of
next week suppressing any activity from forming across western
Kansas. As for temperatures, highs Wednesday look to range from the
mid 80s north to upper mid to upper 90s along the KS/OK border.
Highs then dip into the upper 90s to low 90s Thursday then rebound
into the upper 90s to around 100 degrees by this weekend. Lows
during this time frame will generally be in the 60s with low 70s
across portions of south central Kansas.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1143 AM CDT Tue Aug 18 2026

A hot southwest wind at the onset of this TAF period will
continue through late afternoon (exception being GCK and HYS
with a lighter, more variable wind along the pre-frontal trough
axis), becoming northerly later this evening. An isolated
thunderstorm or two may develop along this front early this
evening, however the probability is too low to include at any of
the four airports HYS, DDC, GCK, LBL. Another opportunity for
showers and thunderstorms will occur late tonight/early
Wednesday morning, mainly up north around HYS, so we will keep a
PROB30 for thunderstorms going for just HYS and keeping GCK,
DDC, LBL dry.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for KSZ066-080-081-
088>090.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Hovorka_42
AVIATION...Umscheid