595
FXUS63 KDDC 252017
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
217 PM CST Tue Nov 25 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Mild and dry through Friday

- Turning colder over the weekend

- Wintry mix Sunday/Monday

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 222 PM CST Tue Nov 25 2025

A ridge of high pressure will drop southward across the FA through
the morning hours. The pressure gradient will relax as this occurs.
The breezy NW/N winds will weaken by dusk. Uneventful weather will
prevail tonight through Friday. Lows tonight will be mainly in the
20s.

For Wednesday, the ridge of high pressure will shift off to the E/SE.
Light southerly flow will develop in its wake. Highs tomorrow will
be in the mix of 40s in the north to around 50F in the south. There
could be a smattering of high clouds by evening. Again, the weather
pattern will remain uneventful.

For Turkey day, the weather pattern continues to remain banal. Dry
upper level northwesterly flow will prevail with light southerly
flow at the sfc. The net result is a quiescent weather pattern for
the day. Highs again should be in the mix of 40s and 50s. Lows in
the 20s. These are near normal temperatures for the year. More of
the same is expected for Friday, with just a few degrees warmer in
both highs and lows.

Attention then turns to the weekend. Some good news is that the outlier
GFS from yesterday has come in agreement with the deterministic EC
as well as both the EPS and GEFS. Have higher confidence of a slug
of Arctic air advecting in across the FA over the weekend. Much colder
highs with values in the 30s and lows in the teens are now forecast
by the trending colder NBM. It will probably be also windier than
forecast, as a stout 40-50 kt 850 hPa jet looks to develop in the
wake of the strong front. As far as precipitation is concerned, there
could be an opportunity of a wintry mix Sunday and Monday. Confidence
though in moisture is lower than temperatures. Something to watch.


&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1001 AM CST Tue Nov 25 2025

VFR expected through TAF pd. NW winds 20-30 kt with gusts 35-40 kt
will subside 5-15 kt by dusk.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Sugden
AVIATION...Sugden