035
FXUS63 KDDC 102018
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
218 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry conditions likely through the weekend.

- Unseasonably warmer temperatures Thursday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 210 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

WV imagery indicates a northwesterly flow aloft prevailing across
the Western High Plains. Near the surface, high pressure is sliding
southeast through the Texas Panhandle.

Dry conditions will continue through the weekend as the SREF shows
the northwesterly aloft persisting during the period in question.
Near the surface, westerly downsloping will continue to reinforce
a dry air mass across western Kansas ahead of a cold front projected
to push through Thursday night. Less than a robust flow aloft with
a polar jet remaining well to our north, and the dominating dry
air mass throughout the high plains will continue to keep precip
chances out of southwest/central Kansas through at least Sunday.

Well above normal temperatures are likely tonight as low level
southwesterly downsloping re-establishes across southwest Kansas in
wake of departing high pressure while weak lee side troughing
develops in eastern Colorado. With the latest HREF indicating a 60-
80% probability of temperatures dropping below 40F by daybreak
Thursday morning, look for lows generally down into the 30s(F) with
near 40F in extreme southwest Kansas. Temperatures will climb well
above the seasonal average Thursday as downsloping becomes more
westerly behind an advancing surface trough axis through western
Kansas, helping push H85 temperatures well above 10C in central
Kansas to a little above 15C near the Colorado line. Under ample
sunshine, expect afternoon highs in the upper 60s(F) in central
Kansas where the HREF shows a better than 90% probability of
temperatures exceeding 65F to the lower 70s(F) in extreme southwest
Kansas where there is better than a 90% probability of temperatures
nudging above 70F. Cooler temperatures are likely Friday with
colder air surging southward into western Kansas behind a projected
cold frontal passage Thursday night.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1045 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

VFR conditions will prevail in vicinity of all TAF sites through
early Thursday. Light westerly winds through late afternoon are
expected to turn southwesterly generally after 23-01Z this
evening as surface high pressure slides southeastward out of
the Texas Panhandle into southern Oklahoma.

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...JJohnson
AVIATION...JJohnson