622
FGUS63 KMSR 241644
ESGDEV

DEVILS LAKE BASIN
LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1140 AM CDT THU SEP 24 2026



IN TABLE 2 BELOW...THE 95 THROUGH 5 PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE THE PROBABILITY
OF EXCEEDING THE LISTED STAGE LEVELS (FT) FOR THE VALID TIME PERIOD.

:...TABLE 2--EXCEEDANCE PROBABILITIES...

:EXCEEDANCE PROBABILITIES are not issued this month
:EXCEEDANCE PROBABILITIES will be issued again beginning in January 2027

IN TABLE 3 BELOW...THE 95 THROUGH 5 PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE THE PROBABILITY
OF FALLING BELOW THE LISTED STAGE LEVELS (FT) FOR THE VALID TIME PERIOD.

:...TABLE 3--NONEXCEEDANCE PROBABILITIES...

.B MSR 0921 Z DH12 /DC2609241640/DVD97/QIVFZNT/QIVFZN9/QIVFZNH
.B1 /QIVFZN5/QIVFZNG/QIVFZN1/QIVFZNF
:
:       Chance of Falling Below Stage (ft) at Specific Locations
:               Valid  Period: 09/21/2026 - 12/27/2026
:
:           95%     90%     75%     50%     25%     10%      5%
:           ---     ---     ---     ---     ---     ---     ---
:Devils Lake
DCBN8      50.3/   50.3/   50.2/   50.2/   50.1/   50.1/   50.1
:Eastern Stump Lake
ESLN8      50.2/   50.2/   50.2/   50.2/   50.1/   50.1/   50.1
.END


:Long-range probabilistic outlooks are issued near the end of
:the month throughout the year.

$$