487
FGUS63 KMSR 212039
ESGDEV

DEVILS LAKE BASIN
LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
339 PM CDT TUE JUL 21 2026



IN TABLE 2 BELOW...THE 95 THROUGH 5 PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE THE PROBABILITY
OF EXCEEDING THE LISTED STAGE LEVELS (FT) FOR THE VALID TIME PERIOD.

:...TABLE 2--EXCEEDANCE PROBABILITIES...

.B MSR 0720 Z DH12 /DC2607212039/DVD72/HGVFZXT/HGVFZX9/HGVFZXH
.B1 /HGVFZX5/HGVFZXG/HGVFZX1/HGVFZXF
:
:       Chance of Exceeding Stages (ft) at Specific Locations
:             Valid  Period: 07/20/2026 - 09/30/2026
:
:           95%     90%     75%     50%     25%     10%      5%
:           ---     ---     ---     ---     ---     ---     ---
:Devils Lake
DCBN8      50.5/   50.5/   50.6/   50.6/   50.7/   50.8/   50.8
:Eastern Stump Lake
ESLN8      50.5/   50.5/   50.6/   50.6/   50.7/   50.8/   50.8
.END


IN TABLE 3 BELOW...THE 95 THROUGH 5 PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE THE PROBABILITY
OF FALLING BELOW THE LISTED FLOW LEVELS (KCFS) FOR THE VALID TIME PERIOD.

:...TABLE 3--NONEXCEEDANCE PROBABILITIES...

.B MSR 0901 Z DH12 /DC2607212039/DVD90/QIVFZNT/QIVFZN9/QIVFZNH
.B1 /QIVFZN5/QIVFZNG/QIVFZN1/QIVFZNF
:
:       Chance of Falling Below Flows (kcfs) at Specific Locations
:               Valid  Period: 09/01/2026 - 11/30/2026
:
:           95%     90%     75%     50%     25%     10%      5%
:           ---     ---     ---     ---     ---     ---     ---
:Devils Lake
DCBN8      50.4/   50.2/   50.1/   50.0/   49.8/   49.7/   49.7
:Eastern Stump Lake
ESLN8      50.4/   50.2/   50.1/   50.0/   49.8/   49.7/   49.7
.END


:Long-range probabilistic outlooks are issued near the end of
:the month throughout the year.

$$