Routine Space Environment Product (Daily)
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111
FXXX12 KWNP 280031
DAYDIS

:Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2026 Sep 28 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#             Forecast Discussion
#
Solar Activity

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity reached low levels with C1 flares observed from Regions
4534 (N10, L=77), 4535 (N11W19, Dri/beta), and 4536 (N02W81, Cso/beta).
Region 4535 developed additional spots this period while the remaining
regions were either stable or in decay. No Earth-directed CMEs were
detected in available coronagraph imagery.

.Forecast...
Solar activity is likely to reach low levels with a slight chance for an
M-flare (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) on 28 Sep. Solar activity is expected to
be very low over 29-30 Sep.

Energetic Particle

.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels. The greater
than 10 MeV proton flux was steady at background levels.

.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to reach high levels on
28-30 Sep. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to persist at
background levels through 30 Sep.

Solar Wind

.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters showed diminishing CH HSS influences and the
return of ambient-like solar wind conditions. Total magnetic field
strength ranged between 2-6 nT, and the Bz component varied between
+2/-4 nT. Solar wind speeds gradually decreased from a peak of around
468 km/s to an average of 400 km/s. The phi angle was mostly positive.

.Forecast...
Ambient solar wind conditions are expected to prevail over 28-30 Sep.

Geospace

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active levels under
diminishing CH HSS influences.

.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet over 28-30 Sep.