Routine Space Environment Product (Daily)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
923 FXXX12 KWNP 060031 DAYDIS :Product: Forecast Discussion :Issued: 2026 Jan 06 0030 UTC # Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # Product description and SWPC contact on the Web # http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html # # Forecast Discussion # Solar Activity .24 hr Summary... Solar activity was at low levels. Only low level C-class flares were observed from Regions 4323 (S16W56, Dso/beta), 4324 (N25W54, Cso/beta), 4330 (S16, L=275), and 4336 (S09E66, Eso/beta). Slight decay was observed in Regions 4323, 4325(S08W64, Eko/beta), and 4333 (S10W39, Cro/beta). The rest of the spot groups were relatively stable. Other activity included an approximate 5 degree filament eruption centered near S18W40 at 05/1854 UTC. A likely associated CME was observed off the SW limb at 05/1857 UTC in SOHO/LASCO C2 imagery. Analysis will be conducted as imagery becomes available. .Forecast... Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares (R1-R2, Minor-Moderate), and a slight chance for isolated X-class flares (R3-Strong) over 06-08 Jan. Energetic Particle .24 hr Summary... The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels. .Forecast... The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to continue at normal to moderate levels on 06-08 Jan. There is a slight chance for S1 (Minor) solar radiation storms through 08 Jan. Solar Wind .24 hr Summary... Solar wind parameters were mildly enhanced, likely due to weak transient activity. Total magnetic field (Bt) ranged from 6-10 nT while the Bz (north-south) component was predominantly negative (southward), ranging from +7 nT during the first hour of the reporting period to averaging -5 nT the rest, with a maximum southward deflection of -9 nT. Solar wind speed decreased from approximately 450-500 km/s to near 400 km/s. Phi angle was variable until 05/0821 UTC when it settled in a negative (towards the Sun) sector. .Forecast... Solar wind parameters are expected to be at or near nominal levels on 06-08 Jan. Geospace .24 hr Summary... Geomagnetic activity was at quiet to active levels. .Forecast... The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet on 06-08 Jan.