337
FNUS73 KDLH 092028
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Elephant Lake Fire...St Louis County
National Weather Service Duluth MN
328 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 CDT on October 09.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Partly sunny skies will prevail for the remainder of the afternoon
with a slight chance of a few showers and maybe a rumble of
thunder through late evening. A wetting rainfall is not expected.
Winds will be southerly at 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 20 to 25
mph into this evening before turning northwesterly as a cold front
passes after midnight. Winds will still be around 10 to 15 mph
with gusts to around 20 to 25 mph through mid-morning Friday
before weakening to 6 to 12 mph. Skies clear tomorrow with highs
in the mid 50s. Afternoon RH values will remain above 40%.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 12 to 13 mph with gusts to around
                    25 mph.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 26 to 28 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (63400-71800 knot-ft).
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC
Weather cov.....    SCH
Weather type....    RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  20
Temp............64  63
RH..............44  45
20 FT wind dir..S   S
20 FT wind spd..8   9
20 FT wind gust.25  23
Mix hgt (kft)...3.0 2.8
Transp wind dir.S   S
Transp wind spd.28  26
SDspl kt-ft/100072  63

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    through the night.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 42.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 9 mph with gusts to around
                    23 mph shifting to the northwest around 7 mph
                    after 3 am. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 21 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 14 to 15 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to good (18000-32100 knot-ft) decreasing
                    to poor (5400-11000 knot-ft) early in the
                    evening.
Pcpn amount.........0.03 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky cover.......MCLDY     CLOUDY    CLOUDY    MCLDY
Weather cov.....CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC     S CHC     S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).40        40        30        0
Temp............63        54        53        49
RH..............46        71        80        89
20 FT wind......S 9G23    S 8G20    SW 7G15   W 7G15
Mix hgt (ft)....1800      600       500       700
Transport wind..S 21      SW 17     SW 16     NW 15
SDspl kt-ft/100032        10        7         9

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 56.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 7 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 23 mph
                    early in the morning.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL increasing to 3900 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 14 to 21 mph shifting to the north
                    around 14 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5400 knot-ft) increasing to good to
                    excellent (35000-64300 knot-ft).
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky cover.......PCLDY     PCLDY     PCLDY     MCLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
Temp............43        45        52        56
RH..............86        79        60        48
20 FT wind......NW 7G16   NW 9G20   NW 10G19  NW 9G15
Mix hgt (ft)....400       2800      3600      3800
Transport wind..NW 14     NW 24     N 21      N 17
SDspl kt-ft/10005         58        64        58

$$
Forecaster...Bryan
Requested by...J Brinkman
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2523259.0/DLH
.DELDT 10/09/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL BrinkmanJ@StLouisCountyMN.gov,mnmncc_operations@firenet.gov