235
FNUS73 KDLH 162305
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Jenkins Creek...USFS
National Weather Service Duluth MN
605 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 CDT on June 17.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Storms will continue this evening, with all hazards expected.
With these storms, a half inch to an inch of rain is expected
directly over the fire. The threat for tornados is steadily
decreasing, with little to no hail seen with these storms so the
threat for hail seems to also be decreasing. Winds up to 45 mph are
expected with stronger storms this evening. and around 60 mph
with severe storms.

Tomorrow, mostly cloudy skies will prevail, with no precipitation
expected. Winds are expected to be light (<10 mph) and RH down to
45% in the afternoon.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 7 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL increasing to 5500 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 18 to 23 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (21800 knot-ft) increasing to excellent
                    (79800-93700 knot-ft).
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10     10     10
Temp............62     67     72     74     76
RH..............93     78     59     53     48
20 ft wind......NW 9   NW 9   NW 9   NW 9   W 8
20 ft wind gust.16     16     16     15     14
Mix hgt (ft)....1400   2300   4000   4900   5500
Transport wind..NW 18  NW 22  NW 23  W 21   W 20
SDspl kt-ft/100022     44     80     88     94

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL decreasing to 300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 18 mph shifting to the northwest 5
                    to 8 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (76100 knot-ft) decreasing to poor
                    (800-10500 knot-ft).
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............75     69     61     56     53     52
RH..............50     66     84     96     100    96
20 ft wind......NW 7   NW 5   NW 3   NW 3   NW 3   NW 2
20 ft wind gust.13     9      6      5      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....4800   1000   300    300    300    200
Transport wind..W 18   NW 12  NW 8   NW 8   NW 6   NW 5
SDspl kt-ft/100076     11     2      2      1      1

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL increasing to 5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 3 mph shifting to the west 5
                    to 7 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (700-19300 knot-ft) increasing to
                    fair to good (26800-32600 knot-ft) late in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....                            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............55  57  62  67  71  73  74  74  75  76  77  77
RH..............93  93  78  67  59  53  49  46  43  42  42  43
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   1   2   3   4   5   5   5   4   4
20 FT wind gust.5   5   6   6   7   8   9   11  11  11  11  11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.2 1.1 2.0 2.8 3.6 4.3 4.8 5.4 5.6 5.4 4.6
Transp wind dir.N   N   NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   3   3   3   5   6   6   6   7   7
SDspl kt-ft/10001   1   3   6   8   11  17  19  27  28  33  28

$$
Forecaster...Krystal
Requested by...Andrew Weston
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2516014.0/DLH
.DELDT 06/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mnmncc_operations@firenet.gov