975
FNUS73 KDLH 161257
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for 614...MN DNR
National Weather Service Duluth MN
757 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 CDT on July 16.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Mostly cloudy today with some scattered rain chances through the
day. Rain accumulations would be minimal with totals generally
less than 0.03" expected. Winds will be out of the east and
gradually increase in speed through the afternoon with a few
gusts in the teens. Min RHs will bottom out around 40%. Overnight,
winds will shift to out of the SE with precipitation chances
increasing after midnight. High res guidance suggests that some
strong to severe storms may develop. There is currently a marginal
risk (level 1/5) for severe storms.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers early in the morning. Slight chance of
                    showers in the afternoon. Smoke in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 6 mph late in
                    the morning.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL increasing to 3800 ft AGL late in
                    the morning.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (2400-18800 knot-ft) increasing to
                    fair (22900 knot-ft) late in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  30  30  20  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............68  71  75  77  80  81  81  82  81  81
RH..............72  62  54  48  44  42  42  41  44  44
20 FT wind dir..N   NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..1   2   3   4   4   4   4   4   5   5
20 FT wind gust.5   6   8   9   11  11  12  12  12  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.9 1.7 3.0 3.1 3.3 3.8 3.8 3.0 2.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   6   6   6   6   8   9   10
SDspl kt-ft/10002   5   9   15  16  17  19  27  24  23

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Smoke through
                    the night. Slight chance of showers early in
                    the evening. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms overnight, then chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........87 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms overnight.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 9 to 12 mph shifting to the south
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (3600-19300 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  20  10  10  20  20  20  30  40  50
Temp............81  80  78  74  71  69  67  66  65  64  63  63
RH..............46  47  50  57  64  66  68  70  73  75  81  84
20 FT wind dir..E   E   SE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.13  14  13  13  13  13  12  13  12  11  11  11
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.12  9   9   9   10  10  10  9   10  12  9   9
SDspl kt-ft/100019  9   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   4   4

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Smoke early in
                    the morning. Smoke late in the afternoon.
                    Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 8 mph with
                    gusts to around 18 mph early in the morning,
                    then shifting to the west around 8 mph with
                    gusts to around 18 mph late in the afternoon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms early in the morning. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the afternoon, then
                    gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to 4500 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 17 mph shifting to the west 15 to 17
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (3800-14100 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good to excellent (45900-61800 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC LKY DEF SCH SCH
Weather type....SMK SMK SMK RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  SMK RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).60  60  50  30  20  20  20  30  70  60  20  20
Temp............63  65  68  72  76  79  81  83  84  85  84  84
RH..............87  87  87  81  74  67  65  61  59  55  57  55
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  W   W
20 FT wind spd..3   3   4   4   5   6   6   7   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.9   9   11  12  13  14  14  15  18  18  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.6 2.2 2.9 3.5 4.0 4.1 4.5 4.0
Transp wind dir.S   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  W   W
Transp wind spd.9   8   10  12  10  13  15  15  17  17  15  17
SDspl kt-ft/10004   4   9   13  14  24  38  46  60  62  58  60

$$
Forecaster...Lee
Requested by...Mike Hanowski
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617469.0/DLH
.DELDT 07/16/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL michael.hanowski@state.mn.us