415
FNUS73 KDLH 091652
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Crosby...MN DNR
National Weather Service Duluth MN
1152 AM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1135 CDT on October 09.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Southerly winds will prevail this afternoon at the fire site. Expect
seasonable high temperatures in the upper-50s and a minimum relative
humidity around 50% this afternoon. Localized and light rain shower
chances build this evening after 1700 LT and are highest 1900-2100 LT.
Up to one tenth of an inch of very localized may (40 percent chance)
be observed from any passing rain shower. A wind shift to southwesterly
will occur late this evening, then further westerly late tonight before
finally becoming gusty from the northwest by early Friday morning.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (6400-22800 knot-ft).
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   10
Temp............54  55  55  56  57  57  56
RH..............59  56  53  51  51  53  55
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   6   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.12  13  14  14  13  12  9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.5 1.8 1.8 1.2 1.1 0.9
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.13  14  14  15  12  8   8
SDspl kt-ft/100014  18  22  23  12  8   6

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    through the night.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 6 mph overnight. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph shifting to the west
                    around 13 mph early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1400 knot-ft).
Pcpn amount.........0.03 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......PCLDY  MCLDY  CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY
Weather cov.....       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10     30     40     40     30     20
Temp............55     51     52     52     53     52
RH..............59     74     77     80     77     80
20 ft wind......SE 4   SE 4   SW 6   SW 7   SW 6   SW 6
20 ft wind gust.8      9      14     16     16     15
Mix hgt (ft)....300    400    500    300    400    400
Transport wind..SE 6   S 9    SW 13  SW 15  SW 15  W 14
SDspl kt-ft/10002      4      6      4      6      5

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 31 mph
                    increasing to 33 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon, then decreasing to 23 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL increasing to 3500 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 16 to 24 mph increasing to 25 to 33
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon, then
                    decreasing to around 21 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (11000-22100 knot-ft) increasing
                    to excellent (65200-99100 knot-ft) in the late
                    morning and afternoon, then decreasing to good
                    (39200 knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.03 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky cover.......PCLDY     PCLDY     PCLDY     PCLDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10        10        10        10
Temp............51        49        52        56
RH..............83        80        66        59
20 FT wind......NW 9G20   NW 12G28  NW 16G29  NW 13G25
Mix hgt (ft)....800       2400      3500      3100
Transport wind..NW 16     NW 31     NW 32     N 25
SDspl kt-ft/100011        65        99        69

$$
Forecaster...Bryan
Requested by...Jennifer Opsal
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2523201.2/DLH
.DELDT 10/09/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mnmncc_operations@firenet.gov,Warren.LaPlante@co.lake.mn.us