208
FNUS73 KDLH 122207
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Deer Fire...MN DNR
National Weather Service Duluth MN
507 PM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1700 CDT on October 12.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Cloudy skies persist through the evening ahead of a cold front.
Scattered light rain showers on an off and on basis persist until
8 PM, with increased coverage in the 9 PM to midnight timeframe as
a cold front moves through before ending around 0100-0200 tonight
behind the front. Total rainfall accumulations of 0.1-0.2 inches
are forecast. Winds remain strong this evening, starting out
southeast currently and then becoming southerly for much of the
evening, before quickly turning westerly behind the cold front
between midnight to 0100. Sustained winds of 10-15 mph with gusts
of 20-28 mph this evening become 7-10 mph with gusts to 15-20 mph
tonight. A cooler night is in store with lows around 40 degrees.

A cooler and drier airmass works in behind the cold front for
Monday with a high temperature in the upper 50s, min RH in the
afternoon of 35-40%, and persistent west-northwesterly winds. The
winds will be sustained at 7-10 mph with gusts of 15-20 mph
through midday/very early afternoon, and then weaken slightly in
the afternoon with gusts to 10-15 mph while veering northwesterly.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 14 mph with gusts to
                    around 30 mph.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 24 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (35800 knot-ft).
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      5PM
Sky cover.......CDY
Weather cov.....CHC
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).40
Temp............65
RH..............58
20 FT wind dir..SE
20 FT wind spd..13
20 FT wind gust.30
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7
Transp wind dir.S
Transp wind spd.24
SDspl kt-ft/100036

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers early in the evening, then rain showers
                    likely late in the evening. Chance of rain
                    showers overnight.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 12 to 14 mph with gusts to around
                    29 mph shifting to the west 7 to 9 mph with
                    gusts to around 21 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 22 mph shifting to the west 13 to
                    16 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (11800-30900 knot-ft) decreasing
                    to poor (4900-12500 knot-ft) in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Pcpn amount.........0.15 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC  PC  PC  MCR
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).50  50  50  70  70  70  70  50  30  10  0   0
Temp............65  62  60  59  60  59  57  55  53  51  49  46
RH..............60  70  78  80  81  83  96  96  100 96  93  96
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..13  12  13  13  13  11  9   7   7   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.29  28  28  28  27  23  20  16  18  20  21  20
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.22  20  21  21  20  20  15  14  13  14  16  13
SDspl kt-ft/100031  18  12  11  11  13  10  11  6   8   7   5

.COLUMBUS DAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 7 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to 2800 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (4500-20600 knot-ft) increasing to
                    fair to good (25300-37500 knot-ft) in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............44  42  40  45  47  50  54  56  57  58  58  58
RH..............93  93  100 82  71  58  48  45  42  39  37  37
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   8   9   9   9   9   9   8   8   7
20 FT wind gust.16  14  14  15  16  15  14  14  14  13  13  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.7 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.13  12  10  16  16  16  15  16  15  15  15  14
SDspl kt-ft/10005   5   6   21  25  31  31  38  36  37  37  33

$$
Forecaster...Cory
Requested by...Tyler Hansen
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2523479.0/DLH
.DELDT 10/12/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL tyler.hansen@state.mn.us