576
FNUS73 KDLH 181015
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Jenkins Creek...USFS
National Weather Service Duluth MN
515 AM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 CDT on June 18.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

A very shallow morning inversion, which could have a bit of fog,
is expected to mix out by around 10-11 AM. Temperatures warm up
near 80 today with RH falling between 35 to 40%. Winds are
expected to be light from the northwest. Rain is not expected
today, but rain and thunder chances increase later tonight into
Thursday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL increasing to 6600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1400 knot-ft) increasing to good
                    (42600-59300 knot-ft).
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY
Weather cov.....PATCHY
Weather type....FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      10
Temp............57     65     74     76     78     78
RH..............100    84     51     43     40     39
20 ft wind......N 0    NW 1   NW 3   NW 4   NW 4   NW 4
20 ft wind gust.3      5      7      9      11     11
Mix hgt (ft)....300    1300   4700   6000   6600   6200
Transport wind..NW 5   NW 5   W 9    W 9    NW 10  NW 10
SDspl kt-ft/10001      5      38     48     59     56

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the evening. Slight
                    chance of rain showers in the late evening and
                    overnight, then chance of rain showers early in
                    the morning.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the evening.
Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL decreasing to 900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (55700 knot-ft) decreasing to poor (1700
                    knot-ft).
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
Weather cov.....              S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     20     20     20     20
Temp............77     71     63     58     54     54
RH..............41     57     75     87     98     99
20 ft wind......NW 3   NW 2   NW 1   NW 1   N 1    N 1
20 ft wind gust.9      7      5      6      6      6
Mix hgt (ft)....5600   900    500    400    400    400
Transport wind..NW 12  W 6    N 6    NW 7   N 7    NW 6
SDspl kt-ft/100056     4      2      3      2      2

.JUNETEENTH...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the morning. Chance of thunderstorms
                    in the late morning and afternoon. Rain showers
                    likely in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph late
                    in the morning, then shifting to the south
                    around 6 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL increasing to 3500 ft AGL late in
                    the morning.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 9 mph shifting to the southwest 8 to
                    13 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (1300-16500 knot-ft) increasing to
                    fair to good (22900-38700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.11 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY     PCLDY
Weather cov.....CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE    LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                    CHANCE    CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).40        50        50        70
Temp............54        65        69        75
RH..............95        78        68        56
20 FT wind......NW 1G6    W 2G8     SW 5G13   S 6G14
Mix hgt (ft)....300       1300      2800      3400
Transport wind..NW 5      W 9       SW 9      SW 13
SDspl kt-ft/10001         11        23        37

$$
Forecaster...Josh
Requested by...Andrew Weston
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2516155.0/DLH
.DELDT 06/18/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mnmncc_operations@firenet.gov,andrew.weston@usda.gov,luke.macho@usda.gov