714
FNUS73 KDLH 200004
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for CHAPINWOOD...USFS
National Weather Service Duluth MN
704 PM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 CDT on August 19.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry conditions expected tonight, with light surface winds from the
northwest shifting to the northeast then to the south this evening.
Speeds will be at or less than 5 mph. Cloud cover increases after
midnight, but ceilings remain above 5kft. Fog is not expected.

For Thursday, surface winds increase from the south at 5 to 7 mph,
with gusts to 20 mph. A few showers are possible tomorrow morning,
with chances for additional showers and thunderstorms increasing
during the afternoon. Some storms might have large hail and gustier
winds. Rain chances continue Thursday evening, with total rainfall
amounts over the wildfire area approaching 0.75 inches. Most of that
accumulation will come with stronger storms during the afternoon.


.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 6 mph shifting to the east around 5
                    mph late in the evening, then shifting to the
                    south in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1700 knot-ft).
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............71  66  61  57  54  52  51  51  49  49  49
RH..............37  44  53  62  69  77  80  77  83  80  80
20 FT wind dir..W   S   N   N   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   1   0   0   1   1   2   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.9   6   5   5   5   7   8   9   11  11  11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.N   N   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.6   5   5   5   6   7   8   9   10  10  10
SDspl kt-ft/10004   2   2   2   2   3   3   4   4   4   4

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the morning, then rain showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 7 mph with
                    gusts to around 18 mph early in the morning.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL increasing to 3100 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (3400-20600 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good (32000-46700 knot-ft) early in the
                    afternoon, then decreasing to fair (13900
                    knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.43 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....        SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY CHC CHC LKY
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  20  20  30  30  50  60  60  40  50  60
Temp............47  50  54  59  65  68  69  72  72  73  74  72
RH..............86  80  83  78  65  59  61  59  64  64  64  71
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   4   4   5   6   6   7   7   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.11  12  12  12  13  14  16  18  18  18  16  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.1 2.5 2.9 3.1 2.9 1.4 1.3
Transp wind dir.SW  S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
Transp wind spd.10  9   9   12  12  12  15  16  17  17  13  13
SDspl kt-ft/10004   3   4   9   15  21  32  40  47  44  16  14

$$
Forecaster...Holly
Requested by...Mike Solarz
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2620045.0/DLH
.DELDT 08/19/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL steven.radaj@usda.gov