Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
619
FNUS73 KDLH 261116
FWSDLH
Spot Forecast for Pike Bay Burn...MN DNR Forestry - Cass Lake
National Weather Service Duluth MN
616 AM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on June 26.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.
.DISCUSSION...
Generally quiet weather is expected today, with a high
temperature around 70 degrees and afternoon RH values above 50
percent. Winds will be northwesterly at 5 to 10 mph with a few
gusts up to 15 mph. No precipitation is expected. There should be
good mixing and smoke dispersal through the day
Thursday will start out dry with chances for showers and
thunderstorms returning for the evening and overnight hours. The
high will be in the low 70s with afternoon RH values above 50
percent. Light and variable winds during the morning will become
southerly during the afternoon around 5 mph. Showers and storms
will remain possible for Friday and Saturday.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 14 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (35200-55100 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............63 64 66 67 68 68 68 69
RH..............77 71 69 64 63 60 58 58
20 FT wind dir..N N N N NW NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6
20 FT wind gust.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 14
Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 3.1 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8
Transp wind dir.N N N N N N N NW
Transp wind spd.15 15 14 16 15 16 16 15
Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
SDspl kt-ft/100035 41 47 55 49 54 53 50
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
becoming light.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL decreasing to 1200 ft AGL in the
late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 13 mph shifting to the northeast 3
to 5 mph after 3 am, then shifting to the
southeast around 3 mph early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to good (21300-38700 knot-ft) decreasing
to poor (1300-8600 knot-ft) in the late evening
and overnight.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky cover.......PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............68 67 60 56 54 52
RH..............59 58 76 82 85 90
20 ft wind......NW 6 N 4 N 2 N 2 NE 1 SE 1
20 ft wind gust.14 9 6 5 3 3
Mix hgt (ft)....3500 2100 900 600 500 400
Transport wind..NW 13 N 12 N 8 N 6 N 5 NE 5
Haines index....3 2 2 2 3 3
SDspl kt-ft/100039 21 6 3 2 2
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming partly
sunny (60-70 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph in the
late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL increasing to 4300 ft AGL in the
late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 12 mph shifting to the south 13
to 14 mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (1300-16300 knot-ft) increasing to
good (30500-48400 knot-ft) in the late morning
and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.03 inches.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 10 10 10 10 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............51 57 65 68 72 72
RH..............90 86 65 61 55 57
20 ft wind......SE 1 SE 2 SE 4 S 5 S 5 S 5
20 ft wind gust.3 5 9 12 13 14
Mix hgt (ft)....400 1200 3000 3800 4200 4000
Transport wind..SE 3 SE 7 S 12 S 13 S 13 S 14
Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3
SDspl kt-ft/10001 7 31 42 48 48
$$
Forecaster...Linda
Requested by...David Hoefer
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2416678.1/DLH
.DELDT 06/26/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dave.hoefer@state.mn.us