852
FNUS73 KDLH 140933
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Crosby Wildfire...MN DNR
National Weather Service Duluth MN
433 AM CDT Tue Oct 14 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 CDT on October 14.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

No rainfall is expected at the fire site through early evening
today. Light winds will occur, first from the northeast this
morning then shifting to the southeast-south late morning to
early afternoon today. Very light rainfall chances build after
1800 LT today to create a 20-30% chance of less than one-tenth
of an inch of rainfall into late evening today. Expect a similar
wind pattern as today for Wednesday. The minimum relative
humidity each day is forecast from 50-60%.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 51.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 2 to 5 mph this morning
                    shifting southeast to south late morning
                    to mid-day.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL increasing to 2600 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 3 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3100-12800 knot-ft).
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10
Temp............34  36  39  42  45  47  49  49  49  49  50
RH..............85  79  76  70  63  56  54  54  56  58  58
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NE  NE  NE  E   SE  SE  S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..1   2   2   3   2   2   1   1   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.12  11  9   8   6   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.2 1.8 1.9 2.5 2.6 2.6 1.9 1.7 1.0
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   W   W   SW
Transp wind spd.9   8   10  8   6   6   5   5   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/10004   4   11  13  10  12  11  10  6   5   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
Max humidity........82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 5 mph shifting to the north
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1100 knot-ft).
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC  MC
Weather cov.....        SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  20  20  20  10  0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............49  47  45  44  44  43  43  43  42  42  42  41
RH..............61  65  70  76  76  76  76  76  76  76  76  79
20 FT wind dir..SW  W   W   NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  W   W   W   NW  NW  N   N   N   N   NW
Transp wind spd.5   5   3   5   5   5   3   3   5   5   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/10004   2   1   2   2   2   1   1   2   2   1   1

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 53.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 2 to 5 mph shifting to the southeast 2 to
                    3 mph in the late morning and early afternoon,
                    then shifting to the south around 5 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1200-6400 knot-ft).
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............41  41  42  46  48  49  50  52  53  53  52  51
RH..............79  82  79  73  71  68  66  61  59  61  66  68
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   3   3   2
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.2 1.7 1.9 2.1 1.9 1.7 1.4 1.1
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   NE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.5   3   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/10002   1   1   1   3   5   6   6   6   6   6   4

$$
Forecaster...Nathan
Requested by...Jennifer Opsal
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2523402.4/DLH
.DELDT 10/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mnmncc_operations@firenet.gov,Warren.LaPlante@co.lake.mn.us