776
FNUS73 KDLH 121030
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Crosby Wildfire...MN DNR
National Weather Service Duluth MN
530 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 CDT on October 12.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Southeasterly winds will increase through the day, with surface wind
gusts to 25 mph. A cold frontal passage will shift winds to the south
then southwest overnight. Winds diminish overnight, but a few gusts to
20mph remain possible. Gusty westerly winds will persist tomorrow.

Scattered rain showers move into the area late this afternoon, and
become more widespread this evening as a band of showers moves west to
east through the area. A wetting rainfall around one-quarter inch is
possible. The rain showers exit the region by early Monday morning,
with no additional rainfall expected until Thursday morning.



.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 24
                    mph.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (5500-23500 knot-ft) increasing to
                    poor to fair (6600-26100 knot-ft) late in the
                    afternoon, then decreasing to poor (5800
                    knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  CDY CDY CDY MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....                                            SCH
Weather type....                                            RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  20
Temp............49  49  50  51  52  54  56  58  59  59  59  59
RH..............93  93  89  89  86  80  77  72  72  75  75  75
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..8   9   9   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.16  18  20  21  22  22  21  21  21  22  22  21
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.9 0.7 1.2 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.16  17  16  17  17  18  18  18  18  17  15  15
SDspl kt-ft/10006   13  10  19  16  22  24  26  19  15  7   6

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 9 mph with gusts to around
                    20 mph shifting to the west around 6 mph after
                    3 am.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 14 mph shifting to the west 12
                    to 13 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3100 knot-ft).
Pcpn amount.........0.21 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MC  CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC  MC  MC  PC
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20  40  50  70  80  80  80  80  60  50  40  30
Temp............59  58  57  55  54  53  53  53  53  53  53  51
RH..............72  75  77  86  90  96  96  96  96  93  86  86
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   SW  W   W
20 FT wind spd..9   8   7   6   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.20  19  19  19  18  15  14  12  12  13  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.14  14  12  13  13  12  10  10  12  13  13  12
SDspl kt-ft/10005   5   3   4   5   4   3   4   5   6   5   5

.COLUMBUS DAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 7 to 9 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 2900 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....West 14 to 22 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (6900-25000 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good (36700-54400 knot-ft).
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............49  48  48  48  49  51  54  56  57  58  57  55
RH..............83  80  74  71  66  59  50  47  45  42  43  47
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..7   7   8   8   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   8
20 FT wind gust.16  18  18  19  19  19  18  18  18  19  19  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.0 2.3 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.9 2.2
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.14  15  16  20  20  21  21  21  22  22  22  20
SDspl kt-ft/10007   10  16  25  31  37  42  47  50  53  54  37

$$
Forecaster...Holly
Requested by...Jennifer Opsal
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2523402.1/DLH
.DELDT 10/12/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mnmnccWarren.LaPlante@co.lake.mn.us,mnmncc_operations@firenet.gov