080
FXUS63 KDMX 240714
AFDDMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
214 AM CDT Sat Oct 24 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Warm and dry conditions continue Saturday and Sunday for most
  of Iowa with highs in the mid to upper 70s.

- Spotty showers possible in northern Iowa on Sunday, along
  with cooler temperatures in the mid 50s to low 60s.

- Off and on spotty light rain chances through the upcoming week
  with temperatures in the 60s to low 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Issued at 214 AM CDT Sat Oct 24 2026

Scattered clouds cover the area early this morning with light wind
from the south-southeast. A surface low sits across North Dakota and
Manitoba with trailing trough axis across the plains and attached to
the developing southern stream cutoff low. As northern and
southern streams separate today the approaching cold front
stalls out. This keeps Iowa dry and warm today with
precipitation across South Dakota and Nebraska. Winds may
occasionally gust near 20 mph, but will be lighter than what
occurred on Friday. By later this evening the surface boundary
begins to sag into northern Iowa with spotty light showers
possible. These continue off and on Sunday as the cloud front
stalls out across northern Iowa. This will result in a rather
notable temperature gradient across the area with far northern
Iowa in the mid 50s while most of the state reaches the 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 238 PM CDT Fri Oct 23 2026

On Monday the southern stream closed low will transition into a
negatively tilted more open wave and slip north into the midwest.
Some CAPE is tucked right in the triple point, but the speed of
the system keeps the warm sector out of the state until the
overnight hours. CAPE will build on the warm sector of the front
as it stalls across the middle of the state. Much of next week
will have split weather between the north and southern half. The
northern half will have more seasonal temperatures in the low
60s whereas 70 degree highs will be common across the south.
Rain and some thunderstorms will remain in the picture. This
pattern will remain until the east CONUS ridge is broken down by
a stronger system from the west.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1029 PM CDT Fri Oct 23 2026

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the TAF period. Main
impact through the overnight will be LLWS particularly at KFOD/KMCW.
Though surface winds near 10 knots will be present, latest analysis
is showing 35-40 knot winds at 2kft with ~30 degrees of veering. The
LLWS is expected to mix out shortly after sunrise. There is a low
(~20%) chance of showers at KFOD/KMCW between 00-06z, and will need
to be monitored for PROB30/TEMPO inclusion in future issuances.

&&

.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hagenhoff
LONG TERM...Jimenez
AVIATION...De Bruin