Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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879
FNUS73 KDMX 111300
FWSDMX

Spot Forecast for 12 Mile Lake Morlins...Iowa Department of Natural Resources
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
800 AM CDT Mon May 11 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on May 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

An initial observation at ignition and a mid burn observation are required.

Please relay them to the National Weather Service for each prescribed burn.

.DISCUSSION...

Winds will be either calm or light and variable early this
morning, starting generally from the northeast then turning
quickly to south southeast as winds pick up through the late
morning. Wind speeds will pick up to around 10 to 15 mph with
gusts around 20 mph possible, primarily late in the afternoon.
Temperatures will warm up nicely today, with a high around 73F.
Relative humidity values remain quite dry today, falling into the
mid 20 percents this afternoon. A temperature inversion will
limit mixing height this morning, but should mix out by around 11
am, improving smoke dispersal.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 14 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon, then shifting
                    to the south around 16 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (72700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
GFDI................0.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........5   6   2   0   10  19  40  33  45  42
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............43  48  54  57  61  64  67  70  71  73
RH..............53  46  40  35  32  30  29  27  28  27
20 FT wind dir..E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   5   6   7   8   9   10  12  14  16
20 FT wind gust.6   6                   12  15  20  23
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.4 2.6 3.2 4.1 4.2 4.5 4.5 4.7 4.8
Transp wind dir.SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.9   10  10  10  10  9   12  13  14  17
GFDI............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Smoke Dispersal.5   12  23  29  37  34  45  50  57  73
Smoke Cat.......PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  GD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers after 3 am.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 17 to 23 mph with gusts to around
                    35 mph shifting to the southwest 23 to 24 mph
                    with gusts to around 35 mph after 3 am.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 17 to 24 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (67400 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (9600 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
GFDI................0.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........44  24  37  40  38  52  40  40  44  64  72  68
Weather cov.....                                    SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                                    RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............73  71  69  64  62  62  61  61  61  61  60  60
RH..............28  32  35  41  46  46  48  48  46  46  47  49
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..17  17  17  20  22  22  21  21  22  23  24  23
20 FT wind gust.25  25  25  29  31  32  32  31  33  35  35  33
Mix hgt (kft)...4.2 4.0 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.17  20  18  21  23  23  24  23  22  23  24  24
GFDI............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Smoke Dispersal.63  67  10  14  14  15  15  16  14  16  19  20
Smoke Cat.......GD  GD  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. Southwest winds 20 to 22 mph shifting
                    to the northwest 28 to 29 mph late in the
                    afternoon. Gusts up to 40 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......9300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 22 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 23 to 32 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (15200 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to very good (104200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (250800
                    knot-ft).
GFDI................1.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........54  83  83  55  40  16  14  13  4   3   2   11
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............59  58  62  63  68  69  71  72  74  74  74  75
RH..............51  55  52  50  40  36  32  30  27  26  25  23
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..22  20  18  20  20  22  23  25  28  28  28  29
20 FT wind gust.31  28  26  28  28  30  32  35  38  39  39  40
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.8 1.5 2.8 3.6 4.5 5.8 6.9 8.2 8.5 9.0 9.3
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.22  21  20  23  26  26  28  29  29  30  32  31
GFDI............0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Smoke Dispersal.17  15  26  55  83  104 138 173 205 220 252 251
Smoke Cat.......PR  PR  PR  FR  GD  VGD VGD EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL

$$
Forecaster...Dodson
Requested by...Lucas Straw
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2613315.0/DMX
.DELDT 05/11/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL lucas.straw@dnr.iowa.gov