Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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FNUS73 KDMX 011131
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Spot Forecast for Chichaqua Prescribed Fire - Darnell...Polk County Conservation
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
631 AM CDT Tue Sep 1 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 CDT on September 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

An initial observation at ignition and a mid burn observation are required.

Please relay them to the National Weather Service for each prescribed burn.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT WEDNESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...

No fire weather concerns are anticipated. Very light and variable
winds this morning will come around to roughly south by this
afternoon, at speeds of around 5-10 MPH. Relative humidity will
fall after sunrise, reaching a minimum around 50% this afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Temperature.........88 at ignition...Max 93.
RH..................61 percent at ignition...Min 52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 3 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4100 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /13600 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...fair
                    /44900 knot-ft/.
GFDI................0.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........37  35  35  34  27  16
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............88  89  90  92  92  92
RH..............61  59  56  52  52  52
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.7   8   9   10  10  9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 2.5 3.3 3.7 4.1 3.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   10  12  13  13  10
GFDI............0   0   0   0   0   0
Smoke Dispersal.14  23  33  41  45  31
Smoke Cat.......PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Temperature.........Min 75.
RH..................Max 74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 7 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3700 knot-ft).
GFDI................0.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........8      5      7      16     39     34
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............91     87     80     79     78     77
RH..............56     63     74     69     67     69
20 ft wind......S 3    SE 5   S 6    S 7    S 7    S 7
20 ft wind gust.7      7      9      10     12     12
Mix hgt (ft)....1400   500    500    500    500    500
Transport wind..S 8    SE 9   S 13   S 14   SW 15  SW 12
GFDI............0      0      0      0      0      0
Smoke Dispersal.10     4      5      6      6      5
Smoke Cat.......POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Temperature.........Max 93.
RH..................Min 50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph shifting to the southwest
                    10 to 16 mph in the morning, then shifting to
                    the west 9 to 16 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4000 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (42700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
GFDI................0.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........33        24        26        5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............75        78        87        91
RH..............71        71        57        52
20 FT wind......S 6G10    SW 7G12   SW 9G15   SW 9G15
Mix hgt (ft)....400       900       3000      2600
Transport wind..N 10      SW 13     W 16      W 13
GFDI............0         0         0         0
Smoke Dispersal.4         9         42        29
Smoke Cat.......POOR      POOR      FAIR      POOR

$$
Forecaster...Lee
Requested by...Douglas Todey
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2621024.0/DMX
.DELDT 09/01/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL douglas.todey@polkcountyiowa.gov