196
FNUS73 KDMX 051251
FWSDMX

Spot Forecast for Island View Dedication Site Area...U.S. Army Corps Of Engineers
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
651 AM CST Thu Feb 5 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CST on February 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

An initial observation at ignition and a mid burn observation are required.

Please relay them to the National Weather Service for each prescribed burn.

.DISCUSSION...

Breezy winds from the southwest at 10 to 15 mph will become from
the west early this afternoon and then become from the northwest
late in the afternoon. Winds may be a bit less if this burn is in
a lower spot near the lake. Clouds will give way to sunshine
later in the day with a minimum relative humidity in the middle 50
percents.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 48.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 14 to 15 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 10 to 14 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 16 to 25 mph shifting to the northwest 14
                    to 21 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (15400 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (51000 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
GFDI................3.

TIME (CST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........90  87  83  76  69  62  53  44  35  31  27
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............31  30  32  35  38  41  44  46  48  48  46
RH..............78  85  81  75  70  65  60  55  56  54  60
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..14  15  15  15  14  14  14  14  14  12  10
20 FT wind gust.20  21  22  22  21  21  21  20  20  17  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 1.5 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.1 1.3
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.16  18  25  25  21  18  17  18  21  18  14
GFDI............2   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   3
Smoke Dispersal.20  24  35  42  40  40  39  44  51  33  15
Smoke Cat.......PR  PR  PR  FR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 32.
Max humidity........92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 9 mph increasing to around
                    20 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 12 to 21 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (36800 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (3900 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
GFDI................3.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........24  23  22  21  27  32  37  29  21  12  12  12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............43  40  39  37  37  36  36  35  36  36  37  37
RH..............65  73  73  79  79  82  82  89  89  92  89  92
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   8   8   9   10  12  14  16  17  20
20 FT wind gust.13  13  12  12  12  13  14  16  18  21  23  25
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.5 2.0
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   NW
Transp wind spd.13  13  14  12  12  14  14  14  18  18  18  21
GFDI............2   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   3   3   4
Smoke Dispersal.6   6   5   4   5   6   7   8   13  14  24  37
Smoke Cat.......PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 43.
Min humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 21 to 24 mph shifting to the
                    north around 18 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 23 to 32 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (52500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (91100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
GFDI................7.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........12  33  53  73  70  74  77  69  60  52  47  41
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............38  37  39  40  41  42  42  42  42  41  40  38
RH..............89  96  89  85  86  79  76  73  70  70  70  70
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..22  23  23  24  24  23  23  23  23  22  21  18
20 FT wind gust.28  29  30  31  31  30  30  30  30  29  26  24
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 2.9 3.1 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 2.5 3.0 3.5 3.3 3.0
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.23  26  29  32  31  28  26  25  25  26  25  24
GFDI............5   5   6   7   7   7   7   7   8   7   6   5
Smoke Dispersal.53  66  77  91  89  79  76  55  68  82  73  64
Smoke Cat.......FR  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  FR  GD  GD  GD  GD

$$
Forecaster...Ansorge
Requested by...Scott Frieden
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2601800.0/DMX
.DELDT 02/05/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL scott.a.frieden@usace.army.mil