332
FNUS53 KDTX 250815
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
415 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

.DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms sweep through Lower Michigan this morning
preceding a return of warmer and more humid air this afternoon into
Wednesday. Thunderstorms remain active tonight but closer to the
Ohio border and then all areas have a chance of showers and
thunderstorms early Wednesday until the next cold front sweeps
through the region. High pressure and dry weather build in for the
late week period.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-252115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
415 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 8 am, then
                    showers with thunderstorms likely until 2 pm.
                    Chance of precipitation 100 percent.
Max temperature.....80-86.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........59-69 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph becoming west early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3070-3570 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph becoming west 20 to 25 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (689).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2 am. Slight chance of
                    showers until 5 am, then chance of showers.
                    Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....60-66.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........88-98 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....72-78.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........51-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph becoming north early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3020-3520 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph becoming north early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (479).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-252115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
415 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 8 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 8 am, then showers and chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 100 percent.
Max temperature.....80-85.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........63-73 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph becoming west early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2410-2910 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 25 mph becoming southwest 25 to 30
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (643).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2 am, then
                    partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2 am. Slight chance of
                    showers until 5 am, then chance of showers.
                    Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....72-76.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........60-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest around 5 mph becoming north 10 to 15
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2210-2710 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph becoming north early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (299).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-252115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
415 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 8 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 8 am, then
                    showers and chance of thunderstorms until 2 pm,
                    then slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 100
                    percent.
Max temperature.....82-87.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........54-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph becoming west early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2780-3280 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph becoming southwest 25
                    to 30 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (737).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....64-70.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph decreasing to around 5 mph
                    after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 2 pm. Chance of thunderstorms after 11 am
                    until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....76-82.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........48-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3230-3730 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (428).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 70s.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.

$$

BT