162
FNUS53 KDTX 230715
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
315 AM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024

.DISCUSSION...Seasonable temperatures with humid conditions will
persist through the midweek period. No rain expected today, then
showers become likely again Tuesday.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-232100-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
315 AM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 5 am. Slight chance of rain
                    showers until 8 am. Chance of precipitation 20
                    percent.
Max temperature.....66-72.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3440-3940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (397).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 am, then
                    cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers after 2 am. Chance of precipitation 20
                    percent.
Min temperature.....54-58.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph becoming north after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 2 pm, then showers likely. Chance of
                    precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....68-72.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........68-78 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast around 5 mph becoming east in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1920-2420 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (216).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-232100-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
315 AM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 5 am. Slight chance of rain
                    showers until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 20
                    percent.
Max temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........66-76 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2390-2890 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (419).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers after 2 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....54-58.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph becoming east after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 2 pm, then showers likely. Chance of
                    precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........73-83 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East around 5 mph becoming 5 to 10 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1770-2270 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (201).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-232100-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
315 AM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 5 am. Slight chance of rain
                    showers until 11 am. Chance of precipitation 20
                    percent.
Max temperature.....68-74.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........62-72 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3020-3520 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (386).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers after 2 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....54-60.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph becoming east after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely.
                    Chance of thunderstorms after 5 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....68-74.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........73-83 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East around 5 mph becoming southeast in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1780-2280 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (244).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. West winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
70s.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 50s.
Highs in the mid 70s.

$$

MR