Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
423
FNUS53 KDTX 170748
FWFDTX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
348 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024
...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT
FRIDAY...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT FRIDAY...
.DISCUSSION...Hot and humid weather settles over southeast Michigan
early this week, but min RH still drops in into the 40s. Chances of
showers and thunderstorms will persist through the week.
MIZ047-048-053-060-061-172115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
348 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024
...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT
FRIDAY...
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 8 am, then
partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2 pm, then
mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Scattered showers
and thunderstorms until 2 pm. Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 2 pm. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....90-94.
24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-48 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......5070-5570 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1059).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms until 2 am. Chance of
precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....69-74.
24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........85-94 percent.
24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......940-1140 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (28).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
and thunderstorms after 11 am. Chance of
precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....86-92.
24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......4860-5360 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1125).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.
$$
MIZ049-054-055-062-172115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
348 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT FRIDAY...
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 8 am, then
partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Scattered showers
and thunderstorms until 2 pm. Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 2 pm until
1700, then chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....88-92.
24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-47 percent.
24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......4540-5040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (893).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-96 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (18).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....86-92.
24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-55 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......4460-4960 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1034).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.
$$
MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-172115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
348 AM EDT Mon Jun 17 2024
...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT
FRIDAY...
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 8 am, then
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Scattered showers
and thunderstorms until 5 am, then showers and
thunderstorms likely until 2 pm. Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 2 pm. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....90-96.
24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-46 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......5720-6220 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (966).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms until 2 am. Chance of
precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....68-74.
24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (22).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....88-94.
24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........42-52 percent.
24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Mixing height.......5880-6380 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1111).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.
$$
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.JUNETEENTH...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Highs in the lower 90s. Southwest
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper
80s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
$$
SC