363
FNUS53 KDTX 220717
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
317 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024

.DISCUSSION...Showers and embedded thunderstorms ahead of a cold
front arrive this afternoon and carry into tonight. Northwest winds
develop behind the front ushering in a cooler airmass. Chances for
precipitation throughout the early to mid-week period, but highest
chances will be on Tuesday.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-222115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
317 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 8 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2 pm until 5 pm, then rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
                    Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Max temperature.....76-80.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........48-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest 10 to 15
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3620-4120 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest 10 to 15
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (602).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms until 2 am, then chance
                    of showers until 5 am, then slight chance
                    of showers. Chance of precipitation 100
                    percent.
Min temperature.....54-60.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast around 5 mph becoming north 10 to 15
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph becoming north after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (21).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Max temperature.....66-72.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........55-65 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (401).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-222115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
317 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 8 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 5 pm. Chance of precipitation 30
                    percent.
Max temperature.....76-80.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph becoming around 10 mph early
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3960-4460 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest 10 to 15
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (613).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms until 5 am, then
                    chance of showers. Chance of precipitation
                    90 percent.
Min temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph becoming north after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph becoming north after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (17).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........70-80 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1930-2430 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (373).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-222115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
317 AM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 8 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after 5 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....78-84.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........42-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south 5 to 10 mph until
                    late afternoon, then becoming around 5 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph becoming south 10 to 15
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (522).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers until
                    2 am. Slight chance of thunderstorms. Rain
                    showers likely after 2 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 90 percent.
Min temperature.....58-62.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph becoming west after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......940-1140 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph becoming north after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (17).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max temperature.....68-74.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........61-71 percent.
   24 hr trend......27 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph becoming north early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2830-3330 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (387).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...Cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
70s.

$$

MR