889
FNUS53 KDTX 240813
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
413 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

.DISCUSSION...High pressure takes control of conditions today and
tonight highlighted by continued lower humidity while temperature
ticks up a few degrees compared to Sunday. A pattern of showers and
thunderstorms arrives toward sunrise through Tuesday morning
preceding a return of warmer and more humid air by Tuesday
afternoon. This also keeps thunderstorms active Tuesday night and
Wednesday until the next cold front sweeps through the region
ushering in high pressure for the late week period.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-242115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
413 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....76-82.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest early
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5330-5830 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (374).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers after 2 am until 5 am, then chance of
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.
                    Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........77-87 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 15 mph
                    after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (11).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 am. Showers likely until
                    2 pm. Chance of showers and thunderstorms after
                    5 pm. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....80-86.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........56-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 15 to 20 mph becoming west early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3710-4210 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 mph becoming west early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1077).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-242115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
413 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 8 am, then
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    mostly sunny (5-15 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 8 am. Chance of precipitation 20
                    percent.
Max temperature.....74-78.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........46-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph diminishing to around 5
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5250-5750 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph becoming northeast
                    early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (363).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
                    showers after 5 am. Chance of precipitation 30
                    percent.
Min temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........80-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 15 mph
                    after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Showers likely
                    until 11 am. Chance of showers after 11 am until
                    1400, then chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    after 5 pm. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....80-85.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........60-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3520-4020 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 mph becoming west early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (931).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-242115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
413 AM EDT Mon Jun 24 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....78-82.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........35-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6480-6980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (501).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
                    showers after 5 am. Chance of precipitation 30
                    percent.
Min temperature.....60-66.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........80-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 15 mph
                    after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers likely
                    until 11 am. Chance of showers after 11 am. Chance
                    of thunderstorms after 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....84-88.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........50-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph becoming around 15 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3770-4270 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1061).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. West winds around
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the upper
60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 50s.
Highs in the mid 70s.

$$

BT