974
FNUS53 KDTX 161955
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
355 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

.DISCUSSION...Low pressure working across the Great Lakes brings
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms today into Thursday
morning with isolated strong to severe wind gusts and heavy
rainfall. High pressure then fills in behind a cold front Thursday
with breezier and drier conditions.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-171415-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
355 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms until 2 pm, then showers and
                    thunderstorms likely. Chance of precipitation
                    60 percent.
Max temperature.....84-89.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........57-67 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......4460-4960 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (469).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 11 pm, then
                    chance of thunderstorms until 5 am. Showers
                    likely after 11 pm. Chance of precipitation 70
                    percent.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........93-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph becoming west around 20 mph
                    after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (20).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....74-80.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........59-69 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 15 to 20 mph diminishing to around 10
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3730-4230 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (589).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....54-58.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........85-95 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......400-600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-171415-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
355 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms until 2 pm, then showers and
                    thunderstorms likely. Chance of precipitation
                    60 percent.
Max temperature.....84-88.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........59-69 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......4040-4540 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (476).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (18).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....75-80.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........68-78 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph becoming north early in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (631).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....52-58.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........87-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......380-580 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph becoming northeast around 5
                    mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-171415-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
355 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms until 2 pm, then showers and
                    thunderstorms likely. Chance of precipitation
                    60 percent.
Max temperature.....83-88.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........60-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......32 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......3620-4120 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (474).
Pcpn amount.........1.01-1.50 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 11 pm. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 5 am. Chance of showers
                    after 11 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....68-72.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph increasing to around 20
                    mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (19).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....78-84.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........62-72 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......4330-4830 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph becoming northwest around 15
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (725).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min temperature.....56-60.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........85-95 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast after
                    midnight.
Mixing height.......880-1080 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph becoming northeast after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (14).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows around 60.
Highs in the mid 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 80. West winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper
70s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the lower 80s.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 60s.
Highs in the upper 80s.

$$

CB