Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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581
FNUS21 KWNS 011527
FWDDY1

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1026 AM CDT Thu Oct 01 2026

Valid 011700Z - 021200Z

...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

The previous forecast remains on track. As mentioned, the driest
fuels across the CONUS, over portions of the Arkansas Basin, are
expected to receive beneficial precipitation. Thus, no changes are
needed with limited fire concerns today.

..Stearns.. 10/01/2026

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1144 PM CDT Wed Sep 30 2026/

...Synopsis...
A mid-level low over the southern Plains will transition into
weakening upper troughing as it progresses northeastward this
afternoon. At the surface, a slow-moving cold front will extend from
the Great Lakes region into the Texas Hill Country. Widespread
rainfall is expected along the front, bringing much-needed relief to
dry fuels in the eastern Arkansas River Basin. Meanwhile, ridging
will rapidly expand over the Desert Southwest, promoting
above-normal temperatures and dry conditions in much of the western
Great Basin and California. Fuels will continue to dry under these
meteorological conditions, but light surface winds limit fire
weather concerns.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$